Public letter to the Department: raw materials industry faces two major problems, severe overcapacity
Time：2010-03-19 Read：1813second
Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of Monitoring Coordination Bureau said today Xin Guobin, raw materials industry faces two problems. First, a serious surplus of production capacity and backward production capacity can not promptly withdraw, iron and steel, nonferrous metals, cement and other industries have similar problems; two energy resource constraints, as Meidianyouyun tense situation between supply and demand for raw materials, industrial production would cause a great impact .
China's industrial economic operation in spring 2010, the report of conference held today. Ministry of Industry and Information Technology party members, the chief engineer and spokesman Zhu Hongren, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of Monitoring Coordination Bureau Xin Guobin, engineering director of Jin Bei jointly issued by the 2010 report on China's industrial economic operation in the spring and answer a reporter's question.
In introducing the major industries operating conditions, characteristics and development trends, Xin Guobin frankly, pulling raw materials for industrial investment is a major force in industrial growth. In 2009, accounting for above-scale industrial added value of around 32% of the proportion of raw materials, industrial growth rate reached 12%, accelerating 1.6 percentage points over the previous year; from January to February this year, growth reached 20.7%, mainly a low base last year (by speed is only 3.1%). With the pace of investment is expected to drop in raw material industry in 2010 will be a corresponding growth rate has slowed, annual growth will fall back to around 11%. Raw material industry faced the greatest two problems: First, a serious surplus of capacity and backward production capacity can not promptly withdraw, iron and steel, nonferrous metals, cement and other industries have similar problems; two energy resource constraints, as Meidianyouyun tense situation between supply and demand for Industrial production of raw materials would cause a great impact.
Iron and steel industry
In 2009, the national output of 568 million tons of crude steel, up 12.9%; annual daily average of 1.56 million tons steel produced. From January to February of this year, national crude steel output of 103 million tons, an increase of 25.4%, daily average steel output 1.744 million tons, a record high; crude steel output this year is expected about 10% over the previous year.
Energy-saving emission reduction steadily. In 2009, focusing on medium and large iron and steel enterprises (crude steel production accounts for about 80% of national output) Overall energy consumption per ton steel 619 kilograms of standard coal, 4.4 tons fresh water consumption, tobacco dust, 1.1 kilograms over the previous year decreased by 1.7%, 12.8 % and 10.7%.
Industrial concentration has increased. In 2009, domestic crude steel output of five steel companies accounted for the proportion of national output by 2008, 28.6% to 29.1% over the previous year increased by 0.5 percentage points.
Highlighted the problem of excess production capacity. In 2009, China's steel production capacity has more than 700 million tons, when the surface of crude steel consumption in the domestic market to 565 million tons, of which about 30 million tons into the social stock, the actual consumption of less than 530 million tons. Production capacity is still blind expansion of steel industry in 2009 fixed investment growth rate remained at around 20%.
Eliminate backward production capacity and arduous tasks. In 2009, the country behind the iron out of a total of 21.13 million tons production capacity and eliminate backward steel production capacity 16.91 million tons. There are about 100 million tons iron and steel-making capacity of 11.29 million tons reach the industrial policy requirements need to eliminate before the end of 2011.
Run element binding increased. Domestic demand for iron ore rising every year, the foreign dependency rate rising in 2009, nearly 70 percent, up 13 percentage points over the previous year, imports accounted for 75% of world iron ore trade, with a large number of imports of iron ore to supporting the development of the risk of iron and steel is growing. In 2009, iron and steel industry, the total energy consumption in more than 300 million tons, accounting for 10% of the total energy consumption in more than emissions of carbon dioxide emissions by about 14% of the country to complete the binding target proposed by the Government, iron and steel industry, the task is arduous .
Non-ferrous Metal Industry
In the demand-pull, the capacity to expedite the release. In 2009, 10 kinds of nonferrous metals output of 26.5 million tons, an increase of 5.2%, of which a quarter of average daily production of 59.8 thousand tons, second, third and fourth quarters respectively, rose to 69.5 thousand tons, 7.87 million tons and 85.5 thousand tons, compared with in the first quarter grew 16.2%, 31.6% and 43%; annual copper production of 4.14 million tons, up 9.1%, electrolytic aluminum output of 12.97 million tons, down 1.5%, average daily output of 1.13 million tons and 3.55 million tons. From January to February of this year, 10 kinds of nonferrous metals output of 4.78 million tons, an increase of 39.4%, average daily output of 81.1 thousand tons, still remain high; of these electrolytic copper, electrolytic aluminum production output grew by 16.2% and 45.6%, average daily output of respectively reached 11.9 thousand tons and 4.36 million tons, is expected in 2010 electrolytic copper, electrolytic aluminum production over the previous year were up 5% and 10%.
Emission reduction through the implementation of energy-saving technological transformation and eliminate backward production capacity, the main indicators of energy consumption significantly. In 2009, the whole industry production increased by 14.1%, energy consumption decreased by 2%. Tons of aluminum consumption of 13,118 kwh DC, down 136 kwh; t crude lead smelting energy consumption of 459 kilograms of standard coal in an integrated, down 14 kilograms of standard coal; tons of alumina a comprehensive energy consumption of 657 kilograms of standard coal, down 14 kilograms of standard coal in . The year out of a small pre-baked anode electrolytic aluminum capacity by about 30 million tons of lead smelting elimination of backward production capacity 250,000 tons.
Steady progress in mergers and acquisitions, industry concentration has increased. Electrolytic aluminum production capacity of domestic companies on average 1.95 tons / year, of which the size of 50 million ton / year more than 15 aluminum companies meet a total production capacity accounted for 55% of total capacity, compared with 2008 increased by 12 percentage points.
Despite the lower growth rate of investment, but the problem of excess production capacity is still outstanding. In 2009, the entire industry investment in fixed assets increased by 16.5% over the previous year, an increase of 26 percentage points lower year on year, but the blind pursuit of economies of scale in some enterprises, expansion of the size of the impulse unabated. Electrolytic aluminum production capacity by 18 million tons in 2008 to expand to 2000 million tons, still under construction, more than 200 million tons.
Prices rise, ability to maintain a lasting uncertain. In December 2009, the domestic market, copper, aluminum prices reached 55.7 thousand yuan / ton and 1.58 yuan / ton, respectively, compared with the end of 2008 rose 107% and 45%, in February of this year, the domestic market, copper, aluminum prices rose to 55.3 thousand yuan / ton and 1.61 yuan / ton.
Building Materials Industry
In 2009, the national cement output reached 1.65 billion tons, up 16%; flat glass output of 580 million weight cases, down 1.7%, mainly ordinary glass has dropped significantly. From January to February of this year, cement, flat glass output of 199 million tons and 99.11 million weight cases, respectively, year on year increase of 26.5% and 12.7%. Cement production in 2010 is expected to close to 18 million tons of flat glass output of more than 600 million weight cases.
The proportion of new dry cement production 70% mark a historic breakthrough. In 2009, new dry process cement clinker production increased 23.8% over the previous year, cement kilns and other processes have guessed that output fell 6.1%, the proportion of new dry process to reach 72.5%, 9.7 percentage points increase over the previous year.
Cement industry and further enhance the degree of industrial concentration. In 2009, the annual production capacity of 300 million tons of cement Enterprise (Group) reaches 49, in 1000 to reach 18 million tons of cement clinker production in the proportion of the country's total, respectively, 49.3% and 37.6% over the previous year the increase 5 percentage points. Has emerged more than 100 million tons of cement production in a large-scale cement enterprise groups.
Cement and flat glass production capacity to face a serious surplus. Of cement production capacity has reached 1.96 billion tons, while in the construction of cement production lines more than 400, with production capacity to more than 600 million tons; flat glass production capacity has reached 640 million tons, a number of places, businesses are still keen on the project, the widening of the scale.
And eliminate backward task is arduous. 2009, the elimination of backward cement production capacity 74.16 million tons have guessed that, behind plate glass production capacity six million weight boxes. There are 250 million tons of cement, 30 million weight boxes of flat glass production capacity can not meet the industrial policy requirements, need to eliminate before the end of 2011.
Petrochemical industry
In 2009, the above-scale petroleum and chemical industrial value added growth of 10.1% over the previous year the growth rate increased 2.6 percentage points year on year; of these chemical industrial added value increased 15.9%, rising by 5.9 percentage points. Major products, crude oil output reached 189 million tons, down 3.1%; 85.2 billion cubic meters of natural gas production, an increase of 6.1%; sulfuric acid production of 59.6 million tons, an increase of 16.9%; soda ash output of 19.38 million tons, an increase of 3%; caustic soda production of 18.32 million tons, down 1.1%; ethylene production of 10.66 million tons, an increase of 8%; fertilizer (pure) output of 66 million tons, an increase of 9.8%. From January to February of this year, oil and chemical industrial added value grew by 17.6%, of which the chemical industry rose by 27.3%, respectively, the year is expected to grow 12% and 17% of crude oil output at close to 200 million tons of ethylene, chemical fertilizer production respectively in 1300 million tons and 67 million tons or so. Gradually optimize the industrial layout. Refining and Ethylene Project to strictly control new cloth point. Completion of Xinjiang Dushanzi, Fujian Petrochemical Company Limited and Tianjin Petrochemical three sets of 10 million-ton oil refining and ethylene megaton integration of devices and 10 million-ton oil refinery in Guangdong Nanhai petrochemical installations, for the end of 2011 before the formation of 20 million-ton oil refining bases and 11 vinyl base to create the conditions for megaton. To promote the integration of such items as pre-Section Refinery project. And eliminate backward to achieve positive progress. In 2009, eliminate backward production capacity 460,000 tons of calcium carbide, coke and backward production capacity 18.09 million tons, out of the total number of sectors accounted for about 5% of the low levels of nitrogen and phosphate businesses, the complete cessation of the five kinds of high pesticide methamidophos and other types of production and use . Serious excess capacity in some industries, blind expansion continues unabated. At present, calcium carbide production capacity of about 22 million tons, the output is only 15 million tons, capacity utilization, only 68%; coke production capacity of about 440 million tons, the output is only 345 million tons, production capacity idle hundred million tons; methanol production capacity of about 23 million tons, the output Only 11.3 million tons, more than half of capacity idle. According to industry association statistics, in the construction of calcium carbide, coke and methanol production capacity there are about 700 million tons, 30 million tons and 860 million tons. In addition, some inorganic salts, inorganic alkali, fertilizer, pesticides, etc. There are also different levels of excess production capacity. (Laughs days)
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