This year, the domestic fertilizer production, imports, prices were increased to varying degrees, while the demand for potash prices and other factors appeared slightly. The industry that the whole development of the industry become more rational. This is a correspondent in December 8-9, Shanghai at the China Salt Industry Association potash (fertilizer) industry branch of the sixth annual meeting of learned information. It is reported that "five" and during the supply of global potash consumption will also rise, major monopoly provider did not change significantly. The amount of potassium in different parts of the world there may be adjusted due to price fluctuations.
According to China's potash (fertilizer) industry branch statistics released in 2011, the domestic fertilizer production capacity of 4.793 million tons (in kind), an increase of 12.33%; estimated annual output of 3,803,000 tons, an increase of 13.81%; self-sufficiency rate from increased 47.2% to 58.1%. Estimated annual imports amounted to 3.78 million tons, up 14 percent over last year. Meanwhile, this year's potash demand is slightly lower than the 7.081 million tons last year to about 6.55 million tons.
Insiders, traders in the international potash price climbed to $ 500 global / ton, the current situation of domestic potash fertilizer demand downturn, the Port reserves higher than the same period last year. The main reason is to enhance self-sufficiency rate, fertilizer prices, fertilizer and other industries and enterprises prepare rational. The rigidity of the global potash demand, uneven distribution of resources and demand are unevenly distributed, both importers and traders continue to game making broad based global prices.
It is reported that in 2011 the first four months of the domestic potash supply adequate, with the spring began, demand quick release, prices show a stable trend, mainly potash supply companies are committed to protect the spring fertilizer work; May to August as demand sustained release, tight domestic supplies, as well as by rising fertilizer prices affect the industry as a whole, prices were slightly higher trend; September to early November, by the two-element fertilizer diammonium export and the impact of lower prices, the domestic potash prices fall, low volumes; Since November, the domestic price stability in the Russian port of Red K 3050 ~ 3100 yuan in the level.
Information, the next five years of global potash production capacity from 42.7 million tons in 2010 (pure below) increased to 59.6 million tons in 2015. Growth of 16.9 million tons production will come from Canada and Russia. Global trade monopoly concentration is still increased. This corresponds with the IFA in 2010 to 2015, global potash demand will be 4% annual growth rate from 27.2 million tons to 32.6 million tons. It is worth mentioning that, according to the forecast, "Twelve Five" domestic only resource-based self-sufficiency of potash is expected to reach 500 million tons (physical quantity) so, when the annual demand will be 800 million tons.
China potash (fertilizer) industry branch of the industry gives four suggestions: First, should take effective measures to avoid big ups and downs of domestic potash prices; second, unswervingly implement domestic, foreign, imported three 1 / 3 of the Potash long-term strategy; third, when the international price adjustments for strategic reserves, increasing foreign voice; Fourth, strengthen the domestic potash resources exploration and industrial technology R & D level, and increase industry capacity for sustainable development. (Wang Yang)