Four, originally appeared in the Wen Jui martial arts, the four disciples of the Zhuge flowers of the forces of justice in the court, we scripted, dogmatic obscure, and write, corresponding to the four factors of siege in the current Chinese urea market worthy of attention , that is, the siege of the urea market, "The Four." 

Let's look at swordsmanship class four Young - cold-blooded, as long as he can stand, will never sit; be able to walk and will not be standing. Swordsmanship class was just as fertilizer market, including coal factor "in the urea market, as long as it is up a little bit of time and will not be up a little bit less or a little bit of time will not be down a little. Why urea jump Miluo River Coal This is a catch stalker forced. Coal as our basic energy, its market-oriented process more than 30 years, coal prices from government control to keep the market pricing reform. However, it is undeniable that the supply and demand patterns and price movements, not simply determined by market supply and demand, but the subjective regulation by the government, driven by the interests, the Government will continue to promote industrial sector concentration improve, and appropriate restrictions new capacity, the release rate, the minds of the price of coal rose easy going down has taken shape. No mindset "success" may be just what this unprecedented harm some students, this year the coal market, the screams of the injured can not afford to injury can not afford to come and go, the snow the elimination Chunshui Dongfeng not fierce hustle and bustle of the dust. A renewed fall in coal prices since May, to accelerate the downward trend in mid-June, the situation waterfalls 30 feet. Xuzhou, a friend called to say they where coal prices continued to fall, and the beginning of the year compared to the per ton has fallen by more than 200 blocks, not sell. This does not, the Xuzhou, the largest coal transshipment port - Wan Chai Hong Kong, design inventory of 1.5 million tons, beginning stocks of 700,000 tons, is currently about 1.2 million tons, I believe the stock will be increasing pressure, more confident that prices have dropped a few ten. We learned from the 2012 summer peaks in coal transportation work conference, the 363 rail transit stored coal power plants has reached 60 million tons can be the consumption of the number of days up to 30 days. Meian Sen, the well-known companies, its main business of coal mine production safety monitoring and control equipment and complete security system development, design, production and sales has publicly stated that coal prices fell sharply affect the back section of their company. In fact, cold-blooded classmates he did not know coal prices last so light, or when the 1998 financial crisis. Ten years later, consecutive multi-week losing streak, can be considered a kind of four Young perseverance. The Four in four Young perseverance, forward-only to subside and that seems insurmountable, injured more courage, this fully be apparent in the fertilizer market, the coal prices stumble endlessly the Pingsha coal major fertilizer prices, including the price of urea can act contrarian? 

Let's look at the amazing legs, Young - Zhuiming the Four in the oldest. Uninhibited free and easy, slovenly, and his play teasing games arena, sloppy, too just as the fertilizer market, including the urea market in the "oil factor". Up very timely, down too excessively bureaucratic, share it? Bodies to monitor the June 20, this point in time the distance this year, the second domestic refined oil retail price down to only the past seven days, three crude rate of change once again fell below 4% of the price adjustment red line in accordance with the existing finished oil pricing mechanism, in theory, the price of oil down the window is expected to open in July 11. The first half of the last trading day of the international oil price rose, but domestic crude rate of change is still substantially more than 4%, July 11, the domestic refined oil prices are down expectations did not change. Treasure Island data show that the rate of change of the three places reached -9.16%, expected the price of oil fell 400-450 yuan / ton, gasoline drop of about 0.3 yuan / liter. 

Under the domestic oil prices will usher in the year "three down" expectations, the oil market to return to the gloomy trend, a rerun of a price war, the wholesale price of refined oil per ton, down 50 yuan speed all the way down. Price cuts are also expected to higher price elasticity of domestic refined oil wholesale market to bring considerable pressure to leave temporarily, as regional agricultural season, further weakness in end demand for diesel, manufacturers shipping pressure is beginning to show, many areas have reduced price of diesel. Part of the regional market downstream, again driven by the outlook of gasoline down. Oil prices stumble endlessly, the Pingsha gun lying in fertilizer prices, including the price of urea is also contrarian act? 

The three Young Zhuiming Taxuewuhen, drunken, more drinking, the greater courage, urea market was the subject of ridicule forced to escape detection. Pin set into the low inventory run without losing a second best operating practices of the agricultural people, what should be ridiculed as conservative.