"The current situation shows that simply did not exist a hard landing of China's economy." Adviser to the President of Galaxy Securities chief economist Zuo Xiaolei (microblogging) held in Hainan in the 8th APEC SME Summit in 2012. 

However, due to the rise in international commodity market prices, will China impact of imported inflation, inflationary pressures are likely to appear in 2013, monetary policy should also maintain a large loose. " 

Said Zuo Xiaolei, China present even in the absence of further institutional bonus release, in the case of existing input-output ratio, coupled with the large-scale technological progress, its potential growth range should be between 7% to 8%. 2013 economic growth in accordance with the current development trend, it should be in the 7.5% to 8%. 

The same day, the former director of the National Bureau of Statistics, economists Qiu Xiaohua attending the sixth Jiang International Forum expects China's economic growth will remain at 7.8% in the full year. Next year the economy will moderate recovery maintained at a growth rate of 7.5% is more likely. 

"In the next two years, China's economy is likely to continue relatively stable run trend, if the steady growth further stepped up, the external economy stabilizes further show that starting next year, China's economy may return to the track of more than 8%." 

Qiu Xiaohua pointed out the support further show the effect of policies on the economy, investment, consumption, exports have stabilized upward trend; leading index indicates that the economic short-term boom in the recovery. 

The year 2013 will become mild economic recovery. "Investment, Qiu Xiaohua said, if this year's investment growth rate reached 21% in 2013, investment growth will not be less than 23%. On the other hand, the consumer will show steady growth, "the 2013 investment and consumer contribution to the economy will be on an equal footing." 

As for exports, Qiu Xiaohua, 2013, China's export growth is unchanged, but the increase will be slightly down more than 8% next year is unlikely. 

Based on the above judgment, he expects the tone of the policy side will remain unchanged next year, and will continue to implement the proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy. "The tone has not changed while maintaining stability, improve the quality of economic growth in the first place." 

GDP growth rate of 7% and 7.5% next year are likely to 7% is the policy of the bottom line, and 7.5% is a high probability event. "Qiu Xiaohua further judgment, in the next three to five years, China's economy will show a" high growth, low inflation "characteristics. "This year, inflation will remain between 2.6% to 2.7% next year, will continue to maintain the pattern of about 3% of the running."