The recent liquid ammonia prices rise, compared with November, up from 100 to 200 yuan (t price, the same below), and a high of more than $ 300, a large increase in the second half of the year for some time. Around the liquid ammonia factory price 2700 ~ 3200 yuan, high, such as Heilongjiang, Zhejiang, liquid ammonia factory price of 3300 yuan. 

Liquid ammonia prices, there are three main reasons: 

First, the price of urea rose led. The past month, under the tariff favorable, procurement of fertilizer manufacturers, light storage start multiple factors, urea prices rose sharply, or up to 200 yuan, and the demand, companies take the goods smoothly. In this situation, a lot of the urea manufacturers to reduce the amount of market for the intermediate product of liquid ammonia, the production of liquid ammonia into urea sales. 

The second is the supply of natural gas. Cold weather, the first civil protection gas, the gas head urea manufacturers gas shortage is increasingly serious, did not resume production of the pre-production of urea manufacturers and discontinued manufacturers also increased the potential, especially in the Southwest, Northwest and other places stop production gas-based urea manufacturers more, causing the liquid ammonia supply has decreased. 

The downstream demand better. Improved fertilizer operating rate, the increased demand of liquid ammonia, other mining and chemical liquid ammonia demand is acceptable, the overall liquid ammonia downstream demand. 

Outlook, as urea market continued strength liquid ammonia prices there are some upside, but overall, the rate of increase will not be much. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, 1-11 months, total production of liquid ammonia 49,649,500 tons, an increase of 8.07%, a larger increase. Look at from the tariff, 2013 ammonia export tariffs levied way changed changed from the taxable amount by ad valorem tariff rates from 7% in 2012, 180 in 2013, translated it, the two are almost the same, and then plus ammonia exports in China itself is not, so the smaller the impact of tariffs on the market, unlike urea, ammonium phosphate fertilizer products such as impact.