In January 10th, " 2012 economic operation in 2013 and the oil and chemical industry forecast report " released in Beijing. The report shows, 2013 the oil and chemical industry of economy of our country will be stable, but the first half of the year is still downward pressure, the second half of the year will be " stable and good ". Preliminary estimates, in 2013 the oil and chemical industry output of about 14.25 yuan, an increase of 16%; to achieve profits of about 870000000000 yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18%.

China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Association executive vice president Li Shousheng said, in 2013 the domestic and international economic situation remains complex and changeable, but the advantage is also gradually increased, the industry will further consolidate the economic recovery momentum.

According to his analysis, the main positive factors to the industry in 2013 4 aspects. One is the macro economic development. The world economy will continue to show a recovery, the International Monetary Fund is expected to increase to 3.6% in 2012, up by 0.3 percentage points. Most institutions forecast, China's economic growth rate will rise to more than 8%. Two investment to maintain a rapid growth. In 2013 the industry investment is expected to increase in more than 20%. Among them, the oil shale, shale gas, coalbed gas will become the key areas of investment. Three the consumer market is steady and rapid growth. The government to expand domestic demand, to nurture new growth points of consumption as one of the most important measure for the smooth operation of the economy, energy and bulk chemical products market demand will increase. The four is a group of new economic growth point is formed. New chemical materials, specialty chemicals and modern coal chemical industry is the formation of new point of growth, industry development and competitive advantage is brewing a new breakthrough.

Li Shousheng stressed that, although the industry is facing a macroeconomic uncertainty, excess capacity and efficiency decreased pressure increase, the constraints of resources and environment problems, the industry innovation ability and other unfavorable factors, but have the confidence to achieve the target industry in 2013 economic operation. Therefore, the whole industry to actively promote the strategic readjustment of the industrial structure, innovation drive development strategy and the construction of ecological civilization, to improve the operation quality and economic benefit, strengthen the economic operation monitoring and rapid response capability.

He revealed, in resolving the excess capacity, the Federation will forward work programme, phosphate fertilizer, nitrogen fertilizer, soda ash, caustic soda, PVC calcium carbide, tires and other key products as soon as possible, and strive to digest a batch, transfer batch, integration of a number of progress achieved, eliminate a number of. This year, crude oil, natural gas, agricultural chemicals, new chemical materials and specialty chemicals will become the main motive force of the economic operation of the steady growth of the industry.

The report shows, the output of major products, is expected this year, crude oil production of about 2.1 tons, natural gas production of about 114500000000 cubic meters, crude oil processing capacity of about 4.84 tons, output of about 4.85 tons of chemicals. Main products consumption is about 5.02 tons, crude oil, 169000000000 cubic meters of natural gas, refined oil 2.92 tons, about 4.6 tons of chemicals. On the demand to accelerate at the same time, the market price will constant after winter. Is expected in 2013 industry-wide price level rose about 4.3%. Among them, the chemical industry is up about 3.5%. Pang Liping Sun Lin.