In recent days, the international oil prices as he has suffered a "Waterloo" campaign, one defeat once in the last week, oil prices in New York and London oil prices fell to a low of 4 months and 9 months, respectively. Affected by domestic bodies to monitor the package of changes in crude oil prices have fallen below -5% rate.
The industry believes that, in accordance with the new mechanism, the domestic oil market is expected in April 25 Thursday ushered in a cut. This reduction since the implementation of the new mechanism, "tune", during the year is expected to hit most fierce hop, reduction, or more than 400 yuan / ton.
International oil prices to new lows
Recently, the international oil out of the unilateral market crash. Brent crude oil futures prices fell below $ 100 a barrel mark for the first time since July last year, U.S. crude oil futures prices fell below $ 90 a barrel mark. As of April 18, Brent futures in recent months to close at 99.13 U.S. dollars / barrel, down $ 5.14 or 4.93% a week earlier; WTI near month futures closed at 87.73 U.S. dollars / barrel, down $ 5.78, or 6.18% a week earlier.
Wing futures that triggered the current round of international oil prices plummeted four areas: First, the global oil demand growth was dragged down economic downturn, but the supply with the arrival of the North American shale gas revolution and rising; Second, the market worried about the Fed may early exit quantitative easing monetary policy; is the U.S. stock Guaitou down, forming one of the main factors to suppress international oil prices; Fourth, the Fund's short international oil prices.
Analysts believe that oil demand in the first half of the year is more pessimistic, it is expected that the fundamentals will remain weak pattern, dragged down oil prices. The short-term Neibulunte crude oil futures could fall to 90 U.S. dollars / barrel support, followed by the emergence of low-cost market funds or support oil prices rebound. For the full year is expected to crude oil supply and demand side in the second half of the year will be improved.
Domestic oil prices plunged "
March 27 this year, the domestic refined oil market ushered in the first cut this year, the new pricing mechanism introduced homeopathy. Under the new mechanism, April 10, the first price adjustment after the running of the new mechanism, the amount is less than 50 yuan per ton due to domestic refined oil prices should be adjusted without adjustment, the not adjusted amount is included in the next price adjustment accumulated or offset.
The impact of international oil prices plummeted, market institutions to monitor the average crude oil price rate of change of the days of decline. The data released by the Xinhua News Agency oil prices April 19, April 18, a basket of crude oil average price change was -5.48%, compared with the previous day fell by 0.38 percentage points.
The industry generally believe that this year, due to the recent decline in international oil prices, the price adjustment will not be lost again, the price adjustment window will open around April 25, the price adjustment is likely to exceed 400 yuan / ton, thus becoming an AM highest .
The price adjustment will not be less than 300 yuan / ton, pessimistic people even think that may be more than 500 yuan / ton if the recent international crude oil prices did not stand up sharply, it is expected that the price adjustment window opens, crude oil will exceed the rate of change of -7%, coupled with Last price adjustment is not cumulative amount included in the price adjustment, the highest price rises or the year. "Treasure Island analyst Zhang Qian is expected that.
Down oil prices are expected to suppress domestic oil market trading weak, gasoline and diesel prices continue to decline. Yu April 19 in 26 major cities, monitoring data show that PetroChina, Sinopec's third year of 93 # gasoline price of 9302 yuan / ton, down 7 yuan / ton, compared with the previous day; country 30 # diesel The price of 8003 yuan / ton, down 28 yuan / ton, compared with the previous day; country, three gasoline and diesel sales price difference place than the retail price of 602 yuan / ton and 529 yuan / ton, respectively.
"Near the end of the month, the amount of businesses go mentality is strong, it is the end of the month there will inevitably be a means of markdowns addition, the recent good news release surface is still hard to favorable global economic downturn, the domestic industry is running, is still hard to fast-rising demand for refined oil , and the bad is still relatively concentrated, the short-term domestic gasoline and diesel market will remain steady downward trend. "the Zhongyu information analyst Ma Yan pointed out.