Although the international market for nitrogen, phosphorus, potassium and other bulk fertilizer sales play a positive role in promoting, but recent international supply and demand aspects of the "upset" the domestic fertilizer production enterprises in the export policy easing, the market still seems a little business difficult. Fertilizer production enterprises want a head start in the marketplace, you need to break through the barriers that hurdle raw materials.
Nitrogen: Export expectations are not optimistic
From the analysis of nitrogen and urea aspects, the summer is about to start dressing, combined with nitrogen exports approaching, these two factors have formed a heavy fertilizer market positive factor. Review of export tariffs since the announcement late last year, "2013 years of urea export" concept will be popular. Mere 2% of the off-season tariffs this one, it is not difficult to imagine how much this will export opportunities. However, from the domestic policy interventions as well as international market supply and demand analysis, coupled with the very likely behavior of the blind set in Hong Kong. We should be cautious about the year exports are expected.
In contrast the international market, the decline in sales in the international market for export of nitrogen to form the invisible and most direct adverse factors, coupled with the current market demand for nitrogenous fertilizer industry reflects not optimistic, so do not rule out short-term nitrogen fertilizer on the market within a small price range down the situation. In the current situation, the major nitrogen fertilizer production enterprises to seize export opportunities in the international market share of exports to expand their own businesses, which is the major business imperative. Appeared on the market if the future market down, the situation of falling prices, the major companies need a good grasp of domestic and external demand combined with marketing strategies.
Phosphate: constrained by international supply and demand affect
In phosphate, the current market for iron ore and sulfur feedstock market downturn, leading phosphate fertilizer market downturn, many manufacturers so it is lack of vitality, there has been decline in capacity utilization and even shut down for maintenance condition. From the market to analyze the positive side, beginning from May 16, phosphate has entered into a comprehensive export period, this period will be exported for 5 months. During the period opened in phosphate exports, export tariffs on fertilizer to 2%, significantly lower export tariffs, the state encourages exports of fertilizer products, in particular to address overcapacity fertilizer products effective measures. But we can see the impact of the international supply and demand, the current overall export markets are relatively weak export sales for the fertilizer market pull effect is not very obvious.
In the current fertilizer market situation, the domestic market demand is not strong. Now facing an oversupply, excess capacity, the export situation has not significantly improved the triple factors, expected future market trends phosphate no major changes. Presumably such a market situation will lead to intensified competition in the domestic market, while the market price of fertilizer does not rule out a steady downward trend, whether it is business or phosphate fertilizer production and sales enterprise, the relative will enter an off-season sales process. Expected within a short time, the domestic market will emerge an ammonium small decline phenomenon. Expected to remain under pressure ahead late enterprises, the main market following behavior.
Potash: prices have remained relatively stable
In potash, at present, the domestic potash market prices basically stable, border potash imports are also relatively small. Many companies and traders said the face of such a depressed market, prices continue to plumb new single pull of transactions is limited. Currently a lot of domestic potash fertilizer companies are awaiting the introduction of new offer QSLP and Salt Lake remained pre-offer, 60% potassium chloride mainstream arrival price of 2580 yuan / ton, the continuation of last year's "Generation Chu consignment" mode. Looking at the domestic market, however, the demand for potash is very limited, potash companies late to the market is relatively difficult to maintain. Resulting in adverse market factors potash industry lies in the psychological prop of many enterprises have relatively strong, coupled with manufacturers expect the market to stabilize the mind, so that once occurred between raw materials and production cost problem upside down, it will bring more to the potash market adverse effects.
In terms of raw materials for fertilizer, fertilizer field by the overall market slump environmental constraints, the current market is still not very stable fertilizer raw materials, fertilizer raw materials on the market sales are not satisfactory. Some of the resources of the enterprise, but also be able to fully carry out normal operations, and for lack of resources, the company will sway in the fertilizer market in raw materials difficult. Fertilizer raw materials market is expected this summer and fall have reduced the possibility of the line, however, in spite of lower raw material market, the positive factors for fertilizer production is still very limited.