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Fertilizer industry in the coming season ammonia decide on what path to follow
Source:Chinese fertilizer net   Time:2014-07-04   Read:723second  

Entered in July, the fertilizer industry into demand off-season, the domestic demand for fertilizer will be reduced, domestic urea fertilizer export enterprises to get the words right, a price to. Short-term view, liquid market in urea market can support, the market has improved, temporary consolidation to development. With the late season approaching, the liquid ammonia will decide on what path to follow?

Since June, the domestic ammonia market changed its original decline in urea prices, better support, has been showing an upward trend. On Hebei region, early in June the mainstream price stability in the 2150 yuan / tons of cash, the enterprise the actual transaction price less than 2000 yuan / tons of cash, by the end of June, the price rose to 2300 yuan / tons of cash, or up to 100-150 yuan / ton, rose more than 6%. At present, around the market prices temporarily stabilized, some areas due to supply and demand changes, market volatility. Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui, Henan, market consolidation operation of liquid ammonia. Shandong mainstream price for 2350-2420 yuan / ton acceptance, Lunan area stable prices in the 2500-2550 yuan / ton acceptance, the actual transactions in the 2470-2500 yuan / ton, a local enterprise parking maintenance, reduce the amount of goods. Jiangsu region in the 2420-2440 yuan / ton acceptance, the price in the 2370-2400 yuan / ton; South of Jiangsu area at 2650 yuan / ton acceptance. Anhui area of basic supply and demand balance, the mainstream price in the 2480-2530 yuan / ton acceptance, Southern Anhui in 2450 yuan / tons of cash, the Anhui area factory the actual transaction price is lower than the factory 100-200 yuan / ton. Henan run steady, ex factory price stability in the 2280 yuan / tons of cash, factory actual turnover of less than 2200 yuan / tons of cash, post market or will be weak. At the end of the price of Hebei area compared to the highest point in June was down, the current price at 2250 yuan / tons of cash, manufacturers of the actual transaction price change, still maintained at 2150-2200 yuan / tons of cash. Hubei, Hunan area because of a large enterprise device fault shutdown for maintenance, supply and demand relations changes, prices sharply higher, at present Hubei area mainstream quotation at 2500-2700 yuan / ton acceptance trade business, price 2500-2550 yuan / ton acceptance; Hunan area prices in the 2400-2450 yuan / ton acceptance; uplink space is expected late lakes area, consolidation operation the main. Sichuan area market is weak, the current mainstream pricing in 2400-2450 yuan / tons of cash, reported local enterprises the actual transaction price in 2250-2300 yuan / tons of cash. Xinjiang area Xinjiang sales prices in the 1800-2000 yuan / ton cash.

Although the chemical fertilizer industry in the coming season, but the arrival of summer the industry did not reduce the demand for liquid ammonia. First of all, due to ammonia refrigeration refrigeration area is larger, and the cost is relatively low, so the cold storage were abandoned fluorine chemical refrigeration, and the use of liquid ammonia, liquid ammonia in summer for a big increase in demand; and summer electricity consumption will increase, the thermal power plant to reduce pollution, the liquid ammonia will increase the demand for; aquaculture, to ensure that the indoor temperature is not too high, will also increase the amount of liquid ammonia to adjust the temperature and urea; if exports by India current bid price, then the domestic urea market the inevitable crash, when the domestic ammonia prices will also have a greater downward trend, but the domestic urea enterprises are price persistence, to reject the the bid winning price takeout, again under the influence of domestic urea prices did not fall up, which will undoubtedly bring positive support for liquid ammonia in the chemical fertilizer market off-season; autumn fertilizer, phosphate fertilizer is dominant, and monoammonium phosphate, diammonium phosphate Market at present has been better development, liquid ammonia as one of its main raw material for fertilizer, so the good development, also to better support the consolidation of liquid ammonia. In general, although the domestic chemical fertilizer industry in the coming season, but in the short term demand for liquid ammonia increased, while the liquid ammonia urea market huge market impact, but in summer, various factors, even if the late urea has downward, if not substantially diving, for the current domestic ammonia market have little effect. At present, although the domestic fertilizer industry is about to enter the off-season, but with the summer coming, the domestic demand for liquid ammonia will increase, short-term or will have the trend to the good, is expected late consolidation operation.

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