The eight factors make urea market overall thaw, export demand, and even popular fall urea. In September 15th, PetroChina, Shanxi coal group, the middle peasants, such as nitrogen in major domestic production and circulation enterprises responsible person forum concluded. Eight factors are: one, the international urea market supply tight, prices high; two, low operating rate of domestic enterprises, reduce the amount of urea market resources; three, the first half of the total production capacity of urea decreased, the second half of new capacity put off put into operation; four, enterprises, social urea inventory are is low; five, the existence of policy next year certain variables, fertilizer value added tax may be restored; six, natural gas prices for industrial use; seven, the international urea demand; eight, Chinese is still the international market price depression, export competitive price advantage. Since August, the demand of international urea market demand, boosting domestic market confidence, urea sales situation is obviously improved, export prices for weeks, obvious. With the India purchase return to the market, will further stimulate the international market, which pushed up the international and domestic market prices fall urea, urea and even popular. Production enterprises generally optimistic about the fall of domestic urea market. The current global production capacity of urea play rate is not high, the domestic first half exit capacity larger than new capacity, total capacity than last year to reduce 2400000 tons. Several sets of the original plan to start the second half of new capacity put into operation the time delay, is expected by the end of the year there will be no new urea capacity on the market. The factors supporting the value-added tax next year fertilizer could restore is better late urea market. N assist data shows, domestic urea production has been 5 months of year-on-year decline, while 1~7 month domestic urea accumulated year-on-year exports increased by 2650000 tons, domestic urea resources volume year-on-year decrease of 2680000 tons. September 10th Association survey, the urea production enterprises operating rate of about 68.9%, the current domestic urea enterprises inventory is only about 540000 tons, 480000 tons year-on-year reduction, social inventory of consecutive decline, down about 30% compared to the same period. The experts said, to levy value-added tax, probably calculate urea tons costs will rise 30~50 yuan, increased costs will be passed on to the market most certainly will. The price of natural gas from September 1st has begun to increase 0.4 yuan / cubic meter for industrial use. In addition, the winter peak gas, gas enterprises will inevitably cut head. Reporters from the meeting that, due to the July IPL companies bidding and there are still 30% of the scalar without delivery, MMTC company 17, cut-off tender is expected to purchase 1500000 tons of urea. If not the bidding and purchasing volume, India will import 2000000 tons of urea. In addition, Pakistan will import 800000 tons of urea, Ethiopia to import 300000 tons of urea. Although the export price is the early rise, but China even at the price of $300 for export, is still lower than the mainstream market price of $30, has obvious advantages in the international market. Overall, the current domestic urea market has been out of the most difficult period, but the industry still is in deficit condition. Called on the industry to comply with Urea Export self-discipline, strictly perform the contract, to ensure product quality, to prevent dumping; at the same time to give priority to ensuring that the needs of the domestic market, actively do a good job with the fertilizer supply species work. PetroChina, CNOOC chemical, Shanxi coal group, Yang coal group, Hubei Yihua, Luxi group, middle peasants, chemical fertilizer and other large-scale urea production and management of the enterprise person in charge attended the forum.