This year winter storage price appears the time relatively in former years delay, until recently the market eased, manufacturers operating rate was gradually increased, prices have been introduced. Winter storage mainstream: 45% sulfur basal is preliminary slightly down 50-80 yuan / ton, mainstream factory quotation at 2200 yuan / tons, 45% chlorine fertilizer slightly down 10-20 yuan / ton, Shandong 1900 yuan / ton, Hubei 1700-1800 yuan / ton. Although the price is higher than the dealers expected, but due to the preparation of fertilizer season, the Northeast dealers have action, rumors plus value-added tax and export tariff policy adjustment, East China, North China dealers are also ready to make trouble. How the development of stored for the winter and spring of market this year? Many according to the insiders, large fluctuations in the market will not occur, only in a certain range of micro wave.

Winter market this year is somewhat different, manufacturers have been in delayed price, and issued the final price higher than expected stock dealers, making dealers actively decreased, cash are near the preparation, fertilizer season, downstream Nahuo active Xing Zenggao, just to take the goods quantity low.

Manufacturers expect the bullish market outlook

From Shandong's agricultural history manager said: "the winter storage prices this year was delayed by a month or so, there are many related factors, such as raw material without strong price support; farmers and dealers are not positive to stock, so manufacturers also can not worry pricing." When a reporter asked about the local market, history manager said: "the impact of value-added tax and export tariff adjustment, many customers buy the majority, they think that prices will rise next year, all in bet, if successful, then there is 100-150 yuan / ton difference to be made. This year, the Northeast dealers play money is positive, early payment, because of rail freight expensive, they asked to take the ship to reduce transportation costs; Shandong local dealers now don't worry, they can at any time to goods, but this year they started to change other brand sales, although with famous brands but because of high prices, high freight costs. The local dealers began to choose the local brand gradually increased."

For the afternoon to look forward to, the old farmer investor manager Huang said, "from the live view, urea has been holding downward fluctuations in the trend of phosphate fertilizer while over the same period last year rising trend, but the rise in the limited space; from the market point of view, with last year's market should be similar to other area no pulling power, the main highlight or in the three provinces in Northeast China, Inner Mongolia region."

A rational view on export policy

The industry said that the export volume of nearly two years and not as the export policy contraction and relaxation are major changes, has been in a state of balance weight, so for the next export tariffs to cancel the season should also have a rational judgment. History manager judgment, even the value-added tax and export tariff adjustment, change much compound fertilizer winter storage price not, shaking 30-50 yuan / ton range, little difference in the overall. Manager Huang is more worried, he said: "as the baby like rare earth phosphate rock resources, but the sale, export has the same bad, although experts say that Yun Guichuan's phosphate rock can be developed for 100 years, but this time is very short. I think that China is a large agricultural country, if the future need to import fertilizer it is hard to imagine, I do not advocate the export, for instant success, harming future generations."

Capital chain rupture accelerate market reshuffle

In recent years, national economic regulation compression money supply, those who rely on chemical fertilizer enterprises loans started this winter's very difficult, because this year the downstream collection is relatively difficult, so many companies appear capital chain rupture and cannot maintain production, accelerate market reshuffle process. History manager said: "because of the emergence of the company will receive payment blocking their bank loans, not to the downstream play money customer delivery phenomenon, manufacturers trust between the cracks, even the old customers, when playing slightly hesitate. Our local some small manufacturers also have appeared because the capital strand breaks could not sustain production situation, although stored for the winter season of national policy to force, but the market environment is bad, this collection is difficult; plus a leap year in nine, many farmers are not anxious to sell agricultural products, so farmers do not have the money, some terminal business credit too serious, payment delays in the receipt of up level impact level, the return of funds is very difficult."

Reporter observed

Near the end of the year, and talk about the export duty, for the international market, China's fertilizer products export any advantage, export is completely approach in China and the release of excess capacity, this is what a helpless choice! But the reporter thinks, excess capacity can not be lazy reason enterprises, expect the state policy to select only the bailout is not business, countries in recent years on the environment and the quality of cultivated land and protection of soil year after year seriously, the enterprise should in this regard, through technical innovation refinement of their own products, pay attention to, analysis, understanding, cultivating the domestic market party a great development, after all, busy export is not a permanent solution.