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Entered in 2015 January, the whole domestic urea prices stable, the market although many good speculation, but ultimately did not bring more price opportunity. This short storage, shouting "thunder", dealers in the actual operation of the "rain", or by the dealers wait-and-see market mentality influence; however, urea enterprises generally no inventory pressure, which in addition to the off-season production fell outside, also the positive impact of India MMTC company, a new round of urea tender. India 2015 first round tender procurement plan to inject fresh impetus to the domestic urea industry, but according to statistics, as of press time, the Yantai port inventory was only 450000 tons, the industry has proved that this round of India bidding bearish.
In addition, by adjusting the railway freight rumor driven, East China urea market overall dimension stability, regional enterprise many positive very price, short-term prices will remain stable in advance. Shandong area of urea prices have been stable and inflation, business owners for the province surrounding agriculture and port order, part of a small amount of preparation for the Northeast market fertilizer, now Shandong province small particles of mainstream factory quotation at 1540-1560 yuan / ton; large granular factory quotation at 1750 yuan / tons; Henan area urea price into the rise, which Henan mainstream quotation to 1540-1560 yuan / ton, the actual transaction to 1510-1530 yuan / ton are, at the present stage of outward price 1500 yuan / tons.
The industry buzz Railway Tariff raised rumors
Recently, the railway freight raised rumors the storm continued. Shandong Beifeng Agriculture Co. Ltd. General Manager of Miao Guotian said: "the great fertilizer effect of the thing. We discuss how to adjust to changing circumstances focusses the price hike, such as thousands of kilometers increased freight 20 yuan, while the market demand is not enough, the dealer to buy goods, the goods can not digest. So after the dealer has heard of it, attitudes about the same as usual, haven't heard because of this thing dealers actively started stocking; of course, also some people said that increase in freight will restrict the circulation of goods, no matter how much the transport cost, the production cost is fixed, will affect the market. On the other hand, railway transportation price increases may push the urea bullish market, after all, total cost increases, the dealer will consider."
Henan Jin Kai Group general manager Yan Chemical Co. Ltd. assistant Yang Tongyu think, if the railroad freight rate rise, the policy impact on the chemical fertilizer enterprises adverse, policy itself and some from the domestic actual situation. "For now the refined oil prices generally decline, highway transportation is more and more obvious advantages. This raised the railway freight, railway transportation modes of enterprises will be reduced, the chemical fertilizer enterprises helpless can play it by ear. In recent years, the efficiency of railway transportation in the fall, the government should put forward to encourage increased transportation quantity policy, improve the railway income. Another example of strengthening the relevant service measures, encourage and support the participation of the logistics enterprises, rather than through the price means. Now, the overall market relatively calm, dealers generally rational, and did not appear a large number of purchase, they themselves on the prices there are some resentment, including the price of urea is not stable, dealer operation ability is limited, which belongs to the. While enterprises will choose the reasonable transportation mode."
India this year the first round of bidding is empty
In addition to railway transportation cost price rumoured to be the industry buzz, India a new round of urea bidding has ended in January 27th. Miao Guotian said, according to the smell of a company called "into HangYu" companies get the lowest bidding price in the tender, even CIF India for only $297.1 / ton. "Every time the market bidding time point and market conditions are different, traders will make decision according to the market price, long-term trend; but like the company bidding price so low, this very strange. According to the current exchange rates, the company the cost of production must be in 1600 yuan / tons, or according to the bidding price is definitely a loss. Before this enterprise have not heard, but the tender price is so low, the company what purpose does not say. This year the first round of bidding is empty there is some truth, but in fact, cannot take the port inventory as the bidding criteria. In general, the tender appropriate, set in Hong Kong will be relatively fast. The tender price is very low, we can't buy a delivery at home, the key problem is the price. For example, Yantai port in Hong Kong at 450000 tons, it is itself the cost is relatively high, if the bidding price to low, Yantai port can not sell, can wait until the next bid, because selling too low traders lose money too much, have no meaning for business people."
The emergence of holding down the bidding price of the situation, Yang Tongyu also think: "India bidding a lack of self-discipline consciousness, China should regulate the market, not the interests of ceding too much. Last year the nitrogenous fertilizer industry association has done a lot of work, but like 'into HangYu' such enterprises, drive the price too low, the damage is a common interest, such as a company low sells its products, peer everyone will suffer. At present, many nitrogenous fertilizer enterprises is still a loss of status, we should combine the insured. Including set in Hong Kong traders also at a loss, all of you are very unfair, domestic enterprises should form a joint force, together to resist the price situation."
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