As of February, compound fertilizer Dongchu smoothly into the second. With the Spring Festival approaching, the market traded diminuendo. Recently new policies issued, the good is expected to gradually release after the holiday sales season, will support the compound fertilizer market continues to rebound.

Optimistic about the judge post market basis has three: one is that the railway transportation price of large area increases, raw material prices steady rise, will be slightly elevated compound fertilizer costs, raise prices to pave the way for the festival properly. Two, the northeast, the South still has certain gap winter storage market, after the Spring Festival with replenishment needs. Three, this year the Spring Festival season ahead of time, shorten the period of reserve fertilizer topdressing fertilizer, wheat and corn sales period superposition may, local market demand concentrated, to push up prices.

Analysis from the viewpoint of cost, transport prices, tons of thousands of kilometers of fertilizer transportation cost theory to raise 25 yuan, compound fertilizer raw material costs increased in different extent. Potassium and ammonium phosphate for long-distance transport, cost increase is more obvious. At the same time, the compound fertilizer at a distance of about 1000 km above the transport costs also increased, especially the obvious influence to the northeast, the southwest market. The current market is off-season, railway freight although the rise, but some regions not yet executed. And manufacturers not to the settlement period, the cost increase is not transmitted to the market. Reporter learned from the manufacturers, after the railway transportation price adjustment rumors of a, some manufacturers have been prepared, signed a contract with the dealer, agreed once the tariff adjustment, the settlement price is changed to the new price. It is not difficult to judge, the cost factors will be a favorable conditions after the holiday season fertilizer prices slightly at the.

Analysis from the angle of demand, compound fertilizer for winter storage market there is a certain gap. This year the market downturn, agents at all levels to prepare fertilizer relatively cautious, postganglionic demand remains considerable. Reporters earlier this month from the Northeast market to understand, at present the market average amount of stock in six or seven. Due to the Northeast market channel is more flat, farmers to purchase fertilizer dealers difficulties before shipment, expected part of demand of the terminal startup will release after the spring festival.

In addition, the climate is also important variables influencing the market. This winter the Northeast high temperature, growing season started earlier than in previous years, coupled with the Spring Festival to postpone, means that the fertilizer sales period will be from the original three or four months shortened to one or two months, postganglionic demand concentrated. There is also a similar situation in Central Plains region. In recent years, Shandong, Hebei, Henan and other places selling season repeatedly advance. To lock in the market, some dealers began sales of summer corn fertilizer, fertilizer use will start after the Spring Festival in the spring, the battle for the summer market will be started ahead of schedule.

From an overall perspective, cost, demand and climate factors provides a market recovery in the stability conditions for compound fertilizer. From the current vendor performance, before the Spring Festival compound fertilizer manufacturers to maintain a smooth start, quoting a smooth, ready to release as postganglionic demand; dealers also actively do a good job in the earlier period propaganda and service, and to pave the way for the selling season. (Jiao Peipei)