New year's bell gradually approaching, compound fertilizer winter storage and sales are basically half. The relevant policy in the near future and fertilizer are introduced, is good or bad still fail, in such bad environment, before the Spring Festival compound fertilizer can spend smoothly?

On fertilizer policies were introduced: 1, is the export tariff liberalization, cancel the pale busy season, two yuan of fertilizer, fertilizer and other small package is 5%-- in Jiangsu area and the other near the coast of compound fertilizer enterprises have already begun to meet export orders, though not for domestic compound fertilizer prices have much impact, but also proper digestion domestic stock; 2, rumors of value-added tax may recover - if the recovery, the compound fertilizer costs will increase 30-50 yuan (with the raw material against the back), but now the discussion of this issue has been declining; 3, rail freight rose -- the current raw material price is basically stable, but the freight if rising, cost pressures will be passed on compound fertilizer enterprises.

This compound fertilizer winter market is dull, the overall stock of the time has also been postponed. Recent compound fertilizer prices basically steady, 45%cl (15:15:15) mainstream factory quotation at 1800-1950 yuan (ton price, the same below); 45%s (15:15:15) compound fertilizer mainstream factory pricing in 2150 yuan of above, because of the new single turnover is not ideal, but also relatively optimistic about the market outlook, so most of the big enterprise not ready price years ago, some small and medium-sized enterprises as the new single transaction price single single discussion.

With the pre orders have finished, start enterprises declined slightly, the Dachang starts into about 7, small and medium-sized enterprises operating rate is only 3-4, some of which have been discontinued, Lantern Festival after the resumption of production. According to understanding, the enterprise inventory increase, inventory 1-10 million tonnes, but because the formula compound fertilizer variety, variety, the stock has little effect on the market to start late, to demand the release of individual formulations, there's likely to be in short supply.

Overall, the current market demand is affected by the Spring Festival temporarily not flourishing, compound fertilizer enterprises some sales and inventory pressure, but not much, and most of the Dachang is not prepared to do unnecessary price adjustment at this time, also affect the policy although not too clear, but the good effect of surface is too large, so that the expected before the Spring Festival composite fertilizer market will maintain stability, and the festival with the market demand gradually release, its price is expected to uplink. (Yang Lin)