The Spring Festival approaching, the market said, compound fertilizer market will not have big change before the Spring Festival, at present, whether manufacturers or merchants are uninterested, changes in the market to wait after the spring festival. Comprehensive analysis of compound fertilizer, after the Spring Festival market there is a certain chance probability is relatively large, rose.

Raw materials prices are expected to act -- the Lord

In 2014 the urea production over the previous year decreased by about 1000000 tons, but exports have increased dramatically, leading to domestic urea resources amount less than the previous year 6230000 tons. In 2015 1 ~ April urea amount of resources is expected to decrease compared to the same period 4000000 tons. Some market participants expected the urea ex factory price is expected to break 1600 yuan / ton. Ammonium phosphate due to international demand support, although prices rose by nearly 10%, but still not a big drop in risk. Potash in waiting for the big contract price issued from the negotiation process, and present international potash fertilizer market, the 2015 contract price may improve potassium hypertrophy than in 2014.

-- the market less inventory

This dealer short storage enthusiasm is not high, some local reserves only around half of previous years, some dealers fear of risk, rather than where in the warehouse space, is not willing to light storage. But farmers with fertilizer rigid demand is there until the spring, farmers use fertilizer after the start, the market will present neutral, such as replenishment is not timely, Jan Huojin price situation will appear.

Railway freight cost -- increase

In January 29th, the national development and Reform Commission issued a notice of railway freight upward, from February 1st onwards, the national railway goods unified rate average per ton kilometer increase 1 cents, plus fertilizer from No. 2 freight to change into the implementation of No. 4 freight rate per thousand kilometers of fertilizer, rail freight rose 25.2 yuan. The fertilizer of railroad freight rate rises greatly, increase the fertilizer production cost and transportation cost, impact on the fertilizer market will gradually appear.

-- compared to the low price of diammonium phosphate compound fertilizer

Under normal circumstances, diammonium phosphate and compound fertilizer 45% content spreads in 400 yuan, but since last year, due to the international DAP prices rose considerably, leading the domestic DAP prices also up. At present 64% diammonium arrived northeast area station pricing in 3100 yuan / ton, and spread the spread of compound fertilizer is more than 500 yuan / ton. Diammonium phosphate compound fertilizer and have a certain alternative, some farmers are inclined to the low prices on which to buy, now compound fertilizer price is lower than the diammonium phosphate compound fertilizer, is conducive to the expansion of sales.