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After the Spring Festival Spring local area began to start, because the compound fertilizer of winter storage situation of most area before the holiday is not ideal, the downstream inventory low, manufacturers expect compound fertilizer will be improved after the spring festival.
Green fertilizer, urea prices up
As of the date when the urea prices continued to rise, compared to before the Spring Festival or nearly 50 yuan / ton. Because now all the area air temperature is higher, Shandong, rivers, Anhui and other places to start the green watering, fertilization, the late corn fertilizer also mainly using high nitrogen fertilizer, there is still demand for urea, while the downstream early ready to be mined, now lower inventory, so that the expected price of urea is still up in space a certain.
Ammonium social inventory low, prices high stability of diammonium phosphate
A recent ammonium price is relatively stable, but the downstream social less inventory, enterprises take the goods better, although the price is not up trend, but the decline is unlikely. And diammonium prices high has been stable for up to 3 months, and now the Northeast arrived at about 3000-3100 yuan / ton, Xinjiang, arriving at about 3100-3150 yuan / ton, compared with 45% levels of compound fertilizer, the spread of more than 500 yuan, so that farmers buy fertilizer when the tendency of compound fertilizer will increase more. In addition, sulfur prices strong, there are also some support for the ammonium phosphate prices.
Potassium chloride Huojin, local rose
Up to now has not yet signed a contract of import potash, potassium fertilizer supply more tense, and the downstream demand gradually start, many factories that can't find sources of goods, and the railroad freight adjustment, so local station price of domestic potassium have small rise, traders imported potassium many also have prices intention.
Rate increase, the increased cost of compound fertilizer
In January 29, 2015, the national development and Reform Commission issued a notice of railway freight upward, from February 1st onwards, the national railway goods unified rate average per ton kilometer increase 1 cents, fertilizer from No. 2 freight to change into the implementation of No. 4 freight, thousands of kilometers of fertilizer rail freight rose 25.2 yuan. Although the country did not immediately execute (mainly because the fire transport prices annually in recent years are on the rise, although the magnitude only every 20-30 yuan / ton, but a few years down, 07 years from now or has exceeded 100 yuan / ton, and now the other way motor, land transportation and other transportation more and more developed, so the fire operation re price also faces some difficulties, time and amplitude of each area actual adjustment may be different, some of the "regional autonomy" taste), but since the Commission has issued a notice, it is inevitable to raise, sooner or later, allegedly in March 1st part of the railway Bureau officially will increase. Price rises, so the cost of compound fertilizer is increasing.
Good support and compound fertilizer prices
The overall look of compound fertilizer raw material prices uplink must have the support of the spring market, began to start, grassroots begin to pick up the goods, agents inventory have been digested, in some places supply has a little nervous, began in March to mark the first replenishment, the downstream demand is also pulling compound fertilizer prices. Compound fertilizer has been maintained for nearly 4 months of stability, is only the constant adjustment of the policy, and the price is not what adjustments, and now raw materials and downstream are positive, manufacturers also hope the price. So, compound fertilizer prices expected to rise small.
Note:
In recent years, the peasant household credit is becoming more and more serious, some agents now funds to return, will affect the later replenishment.
Urea or larger, parts of base retail price is also the future quickly follow up, there inversion phenomenon, the urea demand may have a certain impact, but this year the domestic export policy is good, but the demand of late is not certain, it is understood that some countries introduced imports to protect domestic producers benefit policy restrictions, for urea export prospects must be cautious judgment. So the raw material prices may not have too big change, it is difficult to support complex fertilizer prices up.
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