This week, the overall stability of DAP market, northeast, northwest area the arrival of abundant, replenishment co.. Most manufacturers domestic orders can be maintained until late this month, some manufacturers of domestic go goods ending in succession, center is inclined to the export market. Hubei area 64% diammonium domestic ex factory price 2700 yuan / ton, the domestic still orders in the hair. Some manufacturers started a small set in Hong kong. Base, new trend of northeast spring market temporarily, in Northwest China and Central Plains, primary dealers started to take the goods, but a limited number. Market analysis, primary sales at least until the 4 month can be fully activated.
The domestic primary market start slowly
In mid March, the domestic primary market sales entered a substantive stage. After the market forecast for 2015 showed a DAP is expected to achieve the quantity price Qi Sheng, but in the current market trend is still to see, is it still difficult to draw a conclusion.
At present, the northeast, northwest base spring fertilizer use has not been started, sources mainly concentrated in the hands of traders, is gradually to the grass-roots distribution stage. 64% diammonium Northeast wholesale price of 2950-3100 yuan / ton, northwest of the wholesale price of 2900-3100 yuan / ton. Diammonium enterprise delivery stable southwest, northeast 64% diammonium mainstream arrival price 3000-3100 yuan / ton. Low content of diammonium sent to the northeast of the main raw material to do 60% BB fertilizer, diammonium ex factory price of 2450 yuan / ton, 57% 2300 yuan / tons of diammonium phosphate factory.
The Central Plains area, Henan province with hypertrophy of diammonium demand mainly concentrated in the north area of Henan province. But the wheat fertilizer time generally to 6, July, sales in a short period of time there will be no major improvement.
The general manager of agricultural means of production Co. Ltd. Xuchang heaven Wu Guangyin introduces to the reporter: "in 2014, the company sales of all kinds of total close to 30000 tons of chemical fertilizer, diammonium sales and only a few less than 2000 tons. Investigate its reason, one hand is the local fertilizer using traditional tend to compound fertilizer application, on the other hand also closely related with diammonium prices. In Henan Province, Anyang, Xinxiang, many diammonium dosage etc., economic crops in southern Henan area with less developed, diammonium phosphate. From the price point of view, the relationship between competitive diammonium phosphate and compound fertilizer significantly. 2013 domestic diammonium prices low, the market sales of relatively smooth. 2014 diammonium prices have started to pick up, fertilizer prices relatively stable, the region is more favored for compound fertilizer."
As for the future price trend, Wu Guang Yin said: "previously, Hubei 64% diammonium supply actual factory in advance is the price of 2640 yuan / ton, from this year's market situation, the final settlement price may be higher than this figure. In diammonium prices high, primary sales may encounter some resistance. From the sales model, compound fertilizer manufacturers now for the conference marketing, advance sales applications become more and more mature, the market is higher for compound fertilizer product acceptance getting, the local market is actually diammonium gradually shrinking trend. The long term, if the price to go up with Diammonium export policy change, the domestic primary of diammonium demand may be a certain decline.
From the perspective of the northern area planted this year, the overall climate is better than last year. Compared to the long-term drought in 2014, before and after the Spring Festival this year, the North heavy snow, had a favorable effect on the soil moisture content. In this case, farmers in most parts of the northern areas growing enthusiasm generally high, the spring market sales should be slightly better than the same period last year.
The international market demand gradually
DAP delivery has been a succession of closure, the latter needs a small amount of replenishment is mainly embodied in the domestic and export market. At present, Duoshuer ammonium manufacturers without sales pressure, the raw material price fluctuation amplitude is small, diammonium prices also to maintain strong momentum. In March, the domestic export enterprises in Hong Kong, diammonium signing increase. Southeast Asia, India and other countries demand appeared, at present Chinese 64% diammonium export FOB increased to US $475-480 / ton.
According to the relevant statistics, as of now, India in April 3, diammonium planned arrival volume of 483000 tons, of which 440000 tons of goods from Chinese, shipment arrangement in April. India China diammonium low-end CIF steady at $480 / ton. The sky began in mid March will be exported to a group of 60000 tons of cargo to the India, Wengfu will also in April 3, sent to India a group of 30000 -3 million 5 tons of goods, price is $480 / ton cif.
With the domestic shipments into the end, diammonium export will gradually peatlands. The market believes that this year, India market of diammonium incremental demand significantly, domestic enterprises are likely to benefit from. But before that, how to form the internal force, make a strategic synergy, is a test of the industry.