By the end of June, fertilizer prices entered a period of crisis, corn fertilizer market mop, wheat autumn fertilizer market has not yet fully started, light has become the main voice of the market, more and more companies in the void of the maintenance shutdown, many industry start rate down to 3-5 percent of the low. Into July, fertilizer companies are considering the introduction of fall fertilizer prices, but in the end what price will the downstream receiving and keeping profit margins at an increased cost of raw materials situation? This became fertilizer companies "heart", so now the price is not clear, we are holding a wait and see mentality, even in each other, "Profiler" offer.
Fluctuations in raw material prices is a major factor in the fall fertilizer prices have to be considered. Since April 20 tariff policy adjustments make the cost increase and boost export good, all the way up the price of urea, Shandong and other places by the mainstream factory price of 1650 yuan (t price, the same below) rose floating all the way to 1750 dollar, but the market trend reversed after the Dragon Boat Festival, the expected positive garnered appears increasingly obvious downward trend in urea prices, despite the recent local farmers need to start making some manufacturers offer rebound, but the overall market is expected to improve unlikely. Ammonium chloride still Huojin, although price gains slowed, but is still very strong, the current wet ammonium Jiangsu Province, dry ammonium mainstream factory price of about 550-570 yuan, and about 600-650 yuan respectively. Wheat mostly fat northern high nitrogen fertilizer, monoammonium phosphate fertilizer plant recently been mainly in the procurement of raw materials, the prices of the season is still continuing Huojin Yang, a rally in the price of ammonium cause raspberry, Hubei Province, now 55% powdered mainstream factory price of about 2150-2180 yuan, manufacturers generally control orders. Potash change is not great, but very few high-priced transactions. Overall, under the influence of nitrogen fertilizer, especially of raw materials, the cost of fertilizer market fall than in summer market will increase, this will be the late wheat fertilizer price increases alterations.
According to Chinese fertilizer Net incomplete statistics, there are already a small number of companies to develop the offer wheat fertilizer, mostly nitrogen and 45% of the chlorine-based high fertilizer prices, and the introduction of the pre-payment policy, mostly for play money interest buyout Shipping, logistics subsidies and other policies. Early July wheat fertilizer factory price of various regions refer to the following:
Region 45% 45% chlorine-based Universal Serial wheat chlorine-based nitrogen fertilizer series
Nationwide around 1850-1950 -
           - -
Shandong Province has offered individual 1960-2030 2080-2120
Jiangsu Province has about 1820 individual bids 2050-2100
          Whole range 1850-1900--
Two Rivers area of ​​about 1950 individual has offered 2080
Hubei and Hunan provinces have individual bids around 1900-1950 2020-2080
Anhui Province has about 1880 individual bids 2080-2100

Currently on pure raw material cost calculation, Jiangsu area 45% cl (25: 13: 7), 45% cl (25: 14: 6), for example, is about 1,740 yuan, together computing, 45% chlorine-based nitrogen the full cost of wheat fertilizer should be less than 2,000 yuan, which see 45% of the chlorine-based nitrogen fertilizer wheat in Jiangsu Province has introduced multi-factory price in the 2050-2100 yuan / ton, which should be at a more reasonable price range. Then through other similar specific estimates, around it has introduced tentative offer basically in a reasonable range.
The overall economic environment and large fertilizer market environment is not very good, so is expected to post the price of fertilizer is unlikely to have a particularly good performance, it is likely that prices are hovering in the cost line. Well, from the raw material trend, nitrogen and potash-way is possible, is not yet clear, but the space is not expected to fluctuate greatly, and the possibility of downward trend too large, need to focus on the specific circumstances of international market and supply situation, phosphate prices up little space, but it should be able to remain strong at least until September, it is expected that the possibility of the fall fertilizer prices up too large, but the space is not fear.