The guests: heart Marketing Center Manager Meng Lijun information Chemical Co. Ltd.
Attention this week
Because in recent years, the fertilizer market in general, for more than a very serious, dealers on the current market situation is more accustomed to the preparation of the season is delayed, dealers continued to wait and see. Food prices this year to become a key factor in winter preparation, although this year's grain yield but not the harvest, farmers do not have the money, led directly to the dealer reimbursement is not smooth, farmers entangled in agricultural investment dealers next year, at the end of the year by stocking tangle.
This year, prices drop large agricultural sales worrying
Fertilizer production is adequate, the market is not prosperous season has become the norm, even if the dealer in advance to take the goods, the price change will not be too large, the dealer will think, in advance to get the goods but also to bear part of the cost of warehousing, so this year the number of people waiting to see a lot of. Now, winter is the most important fertilizer reserve sell grain difficult issue, long-term credit dealers in this year will be very sad, a lot of large farming did not earn money, farmers can not repay, dealers have no payment, then directly affect their winter hit by fertilizer. This winter, whether it is for farmers or dealers are a test.
Nitrogen fertilizer prices continued to slump
Meng Lijun said: "in October is the lowest when the fertilizer market, just before the exit window, until the fall of domestic fertilizer by the end, there will be a part of the goods sold to the international port, reduce the domestic supply pressure, but this year the annual export volume in October, then to export is ahead of overdraft, plus the fourth quarter the international oil and gas prices are particularly low, the price is not high, the international market is not good, but every time the purchase of urea prices are lower than we anticipated, so the manufacturer is not willing to export." Performance of nitrogen fertilizer in the fourth quarter or will continue, the most important raw material of compound fertilizer compound fertilizer market performance may make more sluggish.
Manufacturers price adjustment will consider the market reaction
Although the cost of fertilizer rose, but due to the market this year, the market is not good, manufacturers are also in accordance with the needs of the grassroots and feedback to develop production and pricing, rather than blindly price increases. On the impact of the cost of VAT on the cost, Meng Lijun said: "the impact is not as big as we think, the actual growth rate is much lower than expected. Adjust prices is a long-term process, this must look at the market demand, the current oversupply, the various manufacturers of the operating rate is not significantly reduced, and the lower reaches of the goods is not very positive, the fourth quarter of this year, manufacturers are difficult to price adjustment, or to be stable."
Reporter observation
The agricultural product prices low, some people think that, farmers will land, which is a rigid demand, but this year the price is indeed very sad to let farmers, food brokers, agricultural operators had a bad day. This is not an area of low prices, is a national, as well as global. China's three largest grain has been net imports for 4 consecutive years, food vendors to look at the international food, because they lower prices, better quality, domestic food is now very embarrassing.
What will Chinese farmers do next year? Will they continue to invest tomorrow? How much? These are manufacturers are very concerned about the problem, when the land output seriously deviated from the investment, the government should take what measures to stimulate the enthusiasm of farmers planted? The fourth quarter, because prices cause domestic demand weakened, together with the international market weakness, the two pull No. Market will always be manipulated by demand, demand weakened, even if the cost of the rise, the market is still limited to pull.
Because the market is difficult to do, coupled with the problem of capital chain, so many grassroots dealers to give up this year's winter reserves of fat.