Reporters from January 25th held in Beijing, focusing on the person in charge of the forum was informed that, despite the 2015 fertilizer production and marketing balance, but the industry has been caught in a loss of industry. Continuous decline in the price of lead to circulation Dongchu will decline, the industry operating rate of fall and spring fertilizer supply difficulty to increase, making the 2016 nitrogen management situation will be more severe. The meeting suggested that the whole industry to take measures to stabilize the market, boost market confidence as soon as possible, to put an end to low price dumping and malicious short, to suspend shipments to the port, to ensure the supply of domestic market.
In petroleum, CNOOC, Shanxi coal, Yang coal, coal, Hubei Yihua, western Shandong, Inner Mongolia Boyuan holding, middle peasants, and other key nitrogenous fertilizer enterprises responsible person to attend the meeting. According to the China Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association statistics, 2015 nitrogen fertilizer production is expected to be 46 million 700 thousand tons (fold pure, the same below), an increase of 2.5%; urea production (physical volume, the same below) is expected to be 68 million 500 thousand tons, an increase of 3%.
According to customs statistics, in 2015 the amount of nitrogen fertilizer exports reached 12.5% tons of pure nitrogen, an increase of; exports of urea 13 million 750 thousand tons, an increase of 1%. 2015 fertilizer production and marketing balance, output growth is mainly through the export of digestion. But also nitrogenous fertilizer industry has been in the industry losses, according to statistics, 1-12 months in 2015, the nitrogen fertilizer industry losses 31.3 billion yuan, only 12 months net losses reached 7 billion yuan. Delegates believe that, in accordance with the market price of urea in January 2016, is expected to continue to expand the industry in the month.
Delegates believe that the decline in the price of nitrogenous fertilizer has significantly led to the decline in the flow of links in the winter. This year by the impact of international crude oil and food prices, the sharp decline in the price of nitrogen. According to nitrogen Association statistics, in January 2016 third weeks of the national average urea ex factory price of 1313 yuan (ton price, the same below), a decline of 33 yuan, down 267 yuan. Nitrogenous fertilizer prices continued to decline so that the circulation of the winter reserve fertilizer enthusiasm serious setback. According to the supply and marketing cooperatives, supply and marketing cooperatives system nitrogen inventory fell 5 million 140 thousand tons, a decline of 35%, compound fertilizer stocks fell 2 million 550 thousand tons, a decline of 28%. System outside the circulation enterprises may be even greater.
Affected by the continuous decline in prices, stop, production of nitrogen fertilizer enterprises gradually increased. The association of statistics in January 29th, the national urea production for 186 thousand tons, only the operating rate of 65.9%, lower operating rates of ammonium bicarbonate. The delegates think, due to the current market fertilizer low, during the Spring Festival logistics tension, were launched in February spring demand, sales of nitrogen fertilizer is facing dual tests, logistics and supply, the spring with the fertilizer procurement more concentrated will lead to increase the difficulty of supplies.
In view of the current situation, the meeting proposed: control device operating in the economic load, good maintenance device, for the spring fertilizer production ready; second, stable fertilizer sales price, to prevent dumping and malicious short selling; third, strengthen and circulation, logistics enterprises, do a good winter storage fertilizers shipped; fourth, to suspend delivery to the port, efforts to protect the domestic market; fifth, actively carry out publicity and promotional and send fertilizer activities in the countryside.