In the year of the monkey has come, before the downturn in the fertilizer market make the majority of people in the industry did not feel like fire walking goods season, has suffered in recent years of cold, although before the market demand not flourishing, but also prove that the postganglionic primary market potential demand gap is larger, holiday market can usher in a new positive, to usher in the year of the monkey's fertilizer market first opener, and the present specific market:
Compound fertilizer: the current compound fertilizer market is still light, Shandong regional composite fertilizer prices overall stability, individual small drop of about 20 yuan, the majority of enterprises are about to start, the current main hair pre order. Expected to take the goods will be slightly increased, but some large enterprises inventory, inventory and sales pressure surviving, so the short-term recovery of the market downturn in Hefei is difficult to have a greater improvement.
N fertilizers: urea: on the eve of the Spring Festival, urea to take the goods improved slightly, mainly postganglionic local area of winter wheat topdressing rigid demand, Shandong, rivers area individual manufacturers offer slightly upward 10 yuan (ton price, the same below). Return after the holiday, the small particles urea steady, the partial rebound in large particles; the small particles urea offshore reference price of $197-202, high-end rose 1 $; $200-210 large particles, up $5. During the Spring Festival, the domestic market of Shandong, the two rivers area of the primary pre orders, goods manufacturers go smoothly, the mainstream ex factory price hike of 20 yuan to 1260-1320 yuan or so. Industry insiders believe that the main reason for the urea price increase is due to the seasonal hard pull lead to a small increase, but it is expected that the increase should not be high, up to 20-30 yuan up space. Northeast compound fertilizer enterprises mainly concerned about the recent large granular urea prices, the urea price is also maintained a small rise to wait and see attitude.
Ammonium chloride: just after the Spring Festival holiday, ammonium chloride and downstream a few compound fertilizer enterprises still in holiday, part of the normal production enterprises of raw materials also on the sidelines, ammonium chloride production enterprises more primary pre orders, and still guarantee to the end of the month, because of poor transportation, the new single turnover of less, most arms have suspended the quotation, control orders mentality, with compound fertilizer enterprises gradually returned to normal, the ammonium chloride manufacturers said new single will no longer guarantee, and intends to a slight increase in the price.
P: ammonium market continued weakness in the trend, during the Spring Festival the spring less restrictive take the goods, due to the initial start of the holiday market, although some enterprises production normal, but sales and administrative personnel has not yet formally work, enterprise temporary steady watching, mainly the implementation of pre orders, new single transaction amount is less, northeast of compound fertilizer enterprises also said temporary fence, to be a ammonium enterprise quotation to consider purchasing, estimates have to wait until the tenth month to 15 logistics returned to normal. International market price of an ammonium mixed, but mainly to reduce the main, is now the Brazil area of an ammonium CIF continued to fall to 325-335.
Diammonium prices compared with the pre holiday temporary adjustment, enterprises operating gradually warming, but specific sales policy and buyout price has not yet been introduced. Diammonium international prices continued to fall, fell to $375-385 CIF India dap.
In summary is expected to postganglionic primary market and gradually start, the downstream take the volume increased, ammonium phosphate by rigid demand, price or will remain stable.
Potash: the price of imported potassium has not changed for the time being, the international potash fertilizer market is still poor, especially in Brazil region, the big grain price has dropped to 230-240 u.. Salt Lake Potash current daily output of 5-6 tons, soon will be started to increase rate; recently flow and transportation conditions are good, starting every day 300; prices temporarily stabilized, there is no price adjustment plan.
SDIC the Luo potassium yield increased compared to last year, according to understand the sales task this year compared to last year increased about 20%; transport of good, mainly for pre orders; price stability, no price adjustment plan, allegedly downstream speculation in the years after proper rebound may, but are not sure, the principle, the prices will run low. In other regions, the price of potassium sulfate and the price of the exchange also have no big change.
Comprehensive prediction: Overall, fertilizer market is still not optimistic, because after the holiday market has not yet been completely activated, wait-and-see atmosphere rich is expected in the short term is difficult to turn for the better, which will be dispatched gradually returned to normal, agricultural and raw material market will gradually start, then take the goods and price should be adjusted appropriately.