Sheep in demit old monkey in orientation, return of the Spring Festival holiday, urea prices gradually stronger, the new year ushered in the opener, urea manufacturers take the goods smoothly, downstream by fertilizer actively, the local mainstream factory price has rebounded 40 yuan (ton price, the same below) about, so in the end is what to the downturn in the urea market injected new vitality? China fertilizer network urea analyst Xiao Sun from the following three aspects to answer.
Agricultural aspect
As the Spring Festival before the article mentioned, urea market stabilized to stabilize the main reason is 2-3 months in local area of winter wheat and potato fertilizer due to start. Before the Spring Festival transportation restrictions and other factors, although the urea market volume has increased but only manufacturers around the agricultural market, and the Spring Festival, with the gradual recovery of the normal shipping logistics, manufacturers, the new single increased part before the Spring Festival is also gradually delivery orders, factory inventories remain low or almost no inventory, and downstream demand is a gradual increase in the price of urea urea manufacturers increase homeopathy, holiday has the price of urea in Shandong, rivers area has risen nearly 40 yuan, the mainstream factory price in 1250-1340 yuan, while early concessions space is also quietly tightening, which required agricultural fertilizer started to become a major force in the market after years of urea rebound the.
Industrial aspect
Although after the Spring Festival compound fertilizer factory operating rate is still low, purchase volume of raw material of urea had no significantly increased significantly, on the one hand is because some manufacturers before the Spring Festival has purchased part of the raw material of urea, the nitrogen raw material is sufficient, and in phosphate fertilizer and potash fertilizer market is not yet clear the situation of compound fertilizer factory of raw materials procurement remains cautious; on the other hand is current agriculture needs, mainly used for dressing of wheat, demand for urea is larger than on the demand of compound fertilizer, which is currently operating rate is still low. However, Shandong District compound fertilizer plant urea latest storage price of about 1300 yuan, compared with the Spring Festival before the storage price of 1260-1270 yuan rose 30-40 yuan. While in the process of urea market rebound in this round, the purchase price of the compound fertilizer plant pull limited, but also to a certain extent, the rise in the price of urea played a role in boosting.
International
During the Spring Festival, the small particles urea prices steady, and large granule urea by pulling in the American city of New Orleans area agricultural need fertilizer, major global trade port of large granule urea FOB have rose $5-29. On Friday, China's small particles urea FOB prices basically stable at $197-202, and large granule urea rose $5 to $200-210, according to the latest Korean small particles urea procurement bidding, if trader of goods from China, then about China $215 FOB, indicating that the China small particles urea FOB as well as a rebound. We know that port urea prices far lower than the domestic price, the farmers need to season, urea manufacturers tend to the domestic market, but port urea prices in a certain extent, reflects the domestic market trend, so international urea prices rebound of domestic urea prices go play the role of icing on the cake.
Comprehensive point of view, after the Spring Festival urea market a slight rebound in farm to market dominated, the blessing of the industry and international market, the formation of wavelet market, but should not be ignored with the farmers need to prepare fertilizer season came to an end, farmers need to order gradually reduced, industrial orders increased gradually, but in the poor market situation compound fertilizer factory will still to hold down the purchase price of raw materials, and the urea overall operating rate is still at a high level, then the price of urea or will be steady or slightly lowered, the personage inside course of study should not blindly optimistic.