"The future of China's urea will reduce costs and improve the utilization of raw materials; domestic phosphate fertilizer demand will remain stable, there will be a slight rise in the international prices of domestic potash fertilizer prices will rise." These are the news from Agus FMB Asia fertilizer conference in April 14th. April 13th ~ 15, Agus FMB Asia fertilizer conference held in Beijing, nearly 500 delegates from more than 50 countries around the world, the reporter on the spot to listen to experts on the global fertilizer market analysis.
"In the past, the market is often in the off-season is not short off-season, the season is not prosperous situation, the future of China's low season will be more and more obvious nitrogenous fertilizer market." China Nitrogen Fertilizer Industry Association Deputy Secretary General Gao Li said. "At present, the urea to China's exports to India, the Middle East, exports to the United States for the main trade flows, EU demand for urea based mainly in intra regional trade, along with the launch of new projects, Africa will become Urea Export area. With the expansion and improvement of the production and quality of large granular urea, China's export to Brazil is expected to increase."
The Netherlands Cooperative Bank Co., Ltd. Shanghai Branch of the food and Agriculture Ministry of industry analyst Jiang Hanhui analysis: "China's urea this new capacity more concentrated in the central and western regions rich in coal, the device also to large-scale development, the new device the advanced coal gasification technology, the use of non quality anthracite, coal and other coal to reduce the cost and greatly improved the utilization rate of raw materials, energy consumption significantly reduced. Expected to 2020, about 25% of the high cost of production capacity will be replaced by low-cost production capacity."
Phosphate & compound fertilizer industry in China Association of new fertilizer branch of the Secretary General Wang Ying said: "under the policy of zero growth in the chemical fertilizer, the future of domestic phosphate fertilizer demand will remain stable, international will rise slightly. Argus FMB senior analyst Alice Charlton analysis, starting from 2015 phosphate drop will last to the third quarter of this year, and China's phosphate fertilizer exports this year will continue to improve, due to the fall in the price of oil and other factors stimulated the fertilizer market, is expected in 2016 the global fertilizer demand will further increase, in the future there will be more millions of tons of production capacity of the device launched.
"The price of potash will be steady in the future, because the recent commodity prices have begun to rebound, although the price of potash has not risen up, but the market supply and demand has been a subtle change." Potash fertilizer industry expert Qi Zhaoying said that in 2016 the production of potash fertilizer production capacity will rise to about 13 million 500 thousand tons (broken potassium chloride), the output is hoping to maintain the level of 950 ~ 10 million tons.
"In 2015, the volume of potash imports hit a record high, and China needs about 9% of the world's arable land to feed more than 20% of the world's population, and fertilizer demand remains high. Brazil is expected to import this year will be 8 million 500 thousand tons of potash. In addition, one of the main crops in Africa, cocoa beans are also required potassium crops. Therefore, we speculate that the global demand for potash fertilizer will continue to increase in the future." Albrecht Matt, senior vice president (Vice President Marketing Senior), Canadian Potash Corp marketing department, said.