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In July, the more high temperature hit, with the flood disaster in the local area, this year's summer let people sleepless nights, and in the off-season of compound fertilizer market, but also to downstream perturbed mind, hesitant not before. Late July early June, the national majority of compound fertilizer enterprises operating rate is at a low level, according to China's fertilizer network statistics, the current stage of compound fertilizer operating rate of only about 30%. Such a light market, so low operating rate this summer, compound fertilizer enterprises difficult, in the face of the upcoming autumn fertilizer market, when the bulk purchase of raw materials? How to produce the product? New prices and policies how to develop? Has become a headache for the majority of enterprises.
First, the procurement of raw materials does not buy? Summer fertilizer requirement basically come to an end, at present, most enterprises only fragmentary goods to go. Some companies even take the goods stagnation, then face is autumn fertilizer production, and the urea, frequent fluctuations in the price of, after a period of time continued to decline after local rebounded slightly, but the latter is still expected to decline mainly; fertilizer prices low consolidation and compound fertilizer enterprises of ammonium although willingness to purchase and enquiry volume increased, but the outlook is not optimistic about, lest a price of ammonium continued to decline, procurement is still relatively cautious; potassium mast contract is not yet signed, the trend of late is unknown, compound fertilizer enterprises is still not a lot of stocking. Face so changeable feedstock prices. Most of the compound fertilizer enterprises said dare not a large number of procurement of raw materials, only on-demand procurement, not aggressive.
Two, autumn fertilizer when production? According to the usual habits, winter wheat with fertilizer demand in September October start, while the business end of the summer fertilizer go goods, after the July start fertilizer for wheat production, but the raw materials market is not stable, coupled with compound fertilizer demand in the second half uncertainty downstream cancelled prepare fertilizer plan in advance, which makes compound fertilizer enterprises very headache, if there is a large number of production fall fertilizer, lest the late slow demand, inventory backlog of products, pressure; and if the recent production fertilizer in autumn, and fear of subsequent request arrival, supply tension, when production capacity can not meet the market demand, so compound fertilizer enterprises caught in a dilemma.
Three, the fall of new fertilizer prices and policies how to develop? At present most compound fertilizer enterprises have not yet introduced autumn fertilizer price or policy, in parking wait and order meeting, study the new price, although now have the individual enterprise to introduced the price of fertilizer in autumn, but price market acceptance pending the sidelines downstream still looking forward to the emergence of mainstream quotation. Therefore, at present, whether enterprises or the introduction of low or high price downstream are still to wait for the Lord, now most of the compound fertilizer enterprises are still hesitant in the recent introduction of a quotation, there are a few companies work has been done internal price, but the delay has not announced. While recent diammonium prices continue to decline, 64% of mainstream factory quotation in 2150 yuan / ton, stable Anjiang trend evident. As autumn fertilizer can substitute elemental fertilizer, diammonium prices seriously restricted the formulation of late wheat fertilizer prices, so most of compound fertilizer enterprises failed to clear the introduction of autumn fertilizer prices.
According to the investigation of net of Chinese chemical fertilizer, offer a few fall fertilizer (45% chlorine based 25:14:6/18:22:5) in 1800-1850 yuan / ton, also accompanied by a certain degree of interest and Bulgarian policy, but according to the current raw material costs to predict, late autumn wheat fertilizer price or will be downward, space about 50-100 yuan / ton. Most companies said that after July 10th, the company will gradually develop new offer, the introduction of new policies, expect to operate in advance in the fall of the compound fertilizer market, can bring a good autumn composite fertilizer market.
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