Occupies the leading known in July, urea prices "weak" 2 words, 7 at the beginning of the occasion, the profit of urea in agriculture to improve Shandong, rivers and Jiangsu Anhui and other mainstream factory offer a slight increase of 10-30 yuan / ton, lasted only five days time, Guangdong and Guangxi and south-east of a few farmers need, prices steady rise. In addition, because most of the areas hit by torrential rain makes the agricultural demand gap is very small, the industrial compound fertilizer factory operating rate is only about 30%-48%. So in most parts of the price of urea is before a month down the least 40-50 yuan / ton, more than 100-150 yuan / ton or even 240 yuan / ton.

　　To August 3-5, Shandong and Henan urea manufacturers, by the agricultural small amount of replenishment, Guangxi manufacturers through three quarters of rice by fertilizer and underemployment machine once again raised the price. All these show that the urea manufacturers "resorted to prehistoric" in pushing up prices, at present Shandong Henan manufacturers price in lasted only 3-5 days, and then again to tell a paragraph, Guangxi operating rate is low, high prices temporarily stabilized, farmers need to basically come to an end, turnover has been very little. China chemical network learned that by the end of the current mainstream of two rivers in Shandong actual transaction ex factory price has low to 1060-1120 yuan / tons and below cost, presumably insiders are very concerned about is: resorted to prehistoric urea prices can rise again not?

　　The force performance resorted to the following three points:

　　: domestic demand is very few, but only is to the needs of the less, the urea manufacturers have to fight the, low-cost supply of the country, at the same time, low to sign a large orders, regardless of price, although prices in Shandong and Henan lasted only 3-5 days, but the manufacturers is good too any chance of prices!

　　Low 1100-1140 in the 63-141 (urea fertilizer in the domestic second: exports have been in the price ceiling single, early Indian tender in China does not agree with the price, but the present stage has been put down the attitude, in order to ensure winter storage of inventory control, China net understands, 7 since the end of Shandong and Shanxi Hebei part manufacturers "resorted to abolish the" signed by about 20 million tons of export orders, Inner Mongolia, the manufacturers also signing within six months of monthly export volume million tonnes), orders were scattered, multiple to Mexico, the Philippines, South Korea and other places, to the Hong Kong price in dollars / ton, minus the 40-80 yuan / tons of freight, manufacturers can be obtained and the ex factory price can be imagined!

　　Third: operating rate is very low, only about 61%, urea has strenuous mind looking for short-term parking "excuse" to alleviate pressure sales, Shandong, Shanxi minority manufacturers have stopped the high cost of equipment, Hebei Dachang due to heavy rains discontinued maintenance, continuous time is a little longer than expected, Inner Mongolia two manufacturers repair time extended 15-20 days, in Inner Mongolia, some manufacturers may will be out of the market.. These practices are in the "pull field force" to help ease the pressure transient urea industry, is not a permanent solution!

　　Then the price can rise again?

　　Answer: only possible.

　　Urea enterprises will continue to exert "primitive", using the downstream compound fertilizer enterprises in the late slightly to focus on the production of autumn fat chance, exports may also lower the price again, single suction, also most enterprises urea has operating at a loss, the operating rate should not have rebounded significantly, the raw coal prices also Zaizhang possible, especially urea enterprises has been very urgent to price increases, in early July, early August urea manufacturers borrow a little demand to increase, so the next once demand, whether it is the real price, comes with a little speculation ingredients also strike, urea manufacturers factory price will be increased.

　　As for the actual transaction price, amount, it is very difficult to sharply higher, after all, the urea industry overcapacity is a fact, export competition fierce is the fact, autumn fertilizer production of compound fertilizer enterprises will also continue with the use with the mining is the fact, pale reserve dealers fertilizer will be very cautious and light storage is a fact!