Since November, the price of raw materials turns up, but the market price of fertilizer to poor sales, the slow progress in the winter. Expected before the winter storage price uncertainty, the game between manufacturers will continue.
Although the price of urea appeared tired, but the overall upward ammonium and potassium chloride, ammonium chloride, bring a strong support to the fertilizer price.
After more than a month of steady rise, local urea prices in the near future a slight decline trend, but the current support factors are still in. For example, coal prices support costs, operating rates continued to low, local market, such as tight capacity. At present, Shandong small particles urea mainstream offer 1450 ~ 1480 yuan (ton price, the same below), with a slight decline compared to November highs, but the lows of August has risen 250 yuan.
In addition to a slight loosening of urea, the other kinds of raw material gains. Among them, the largest increase in the price of ammonium chloride, wet ammonium factory price of about 450 yuan, up nearly 40 yuan over the previous month, the factory price of 550 yuan of dry ammonium, up nearly 100 yuan last month. Two reasons to determine the price of this round of ammonium chloride has a certain support. First, the price of coal, increase the cost of the base enterprise, the willingness of enterprises to a strong. Two is the enterprise in order to maintain 1 ~ 2 months, high prices to control orders.
Prices continue to rise. In addition to raw material support, the market supply is also an important reason for low. There is news that the Hubei environmental protection check enable enterprises to reduce operating rate, reduce market supply, after most business orders have been arranged by the end of December and new year's day, and has stopped payment and price, Hubei limited production also pulled the other major price. At present, Hubei, an ammonium 55% powder quote 1700 yuan, Sichuan offer 1700 to 1800 yuan, the Shandong market price of more than 1800 yuan.
Potassium chloride also reversed this month, the price bottomed rebound, turnover improved. In port 62%, Russia, as an example, for example, the mainstream offer 1970 yuan, up 170 yuan, the main reason is the decrease in supply. It is reported that, due to the limited capacity, down east of Qinghai potash capacity; at the same time, the import potash supply also sell phenomenon.
In the context of the overall raw material prices, the composite fertilizer winter reserve is not very large, the company's price is obvious. Some analysis believes that before and after the end of December will be the peak winter season, then as long as the price of raw materials to maintain a stable or upward trend, the possibility of a large composite fertilizer prices continue to rise. This is also the reason why some companies do not have a clear offer.
Current international compound fertilizer price stability. As of November 24th, CIF, Southeast 48% bulk compound fertilizer 340 to $350; 48% China compound fertilizer 300 to $305; India bulk 62% compound fertilizer (NPK 10%-26%-26%) from 285 to 300 dollars; the Baltic bulk 48% compound fertilizer FOB 230 to $295.