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In mid December, winter storage prices gradually surfaced, but only a few enterprises issued the buyout price, the price of winter fog compound fertilizer, gradually clear. Unlike last year, the market continued downward is that this year by the continued growth in prices of raw materials, fertilizer prices in the fourth quarter and finally achieve a counter attack.
Compound fertilizer prices rise is not done overnight, the company's offer from the early cautious to maintain stability, to modestly increase modestly, and then rose more than 100 yuan, also lasted about a month and a half time. Taking Shandong area as an example, 45% chlorine based compound fertilizer general fall tail price is 1735-1850 yuan (ton price, the same below), the low-end price for 1670-1720 yuan; individual enterprises issued in mid November Dongchu tentative price of 1840 yuan, with the fall of prices were unchanged at the end of November; raw material price fluctuations are more frequent in compound fertilizer the price is also narrow adjustment, a few enterprises issued winter storage tentative price for 1730-1800 yuan, individual buyout price is 1660 yuan; until mid December, fertilizer prices finally sit real, Dongchu most enterprises tentative factory price 1800-1900 yuan, compared with prices rose nearly 100 yuan in the tail. Compound fertilizer is closely related to winter storage price and raw material prices this wave of rising volatility, by the early coal prices rising, urea took this round of price increases at the same time by the banner of environmental inspection, transportation and supply tight tight supply and other factors, phosphate fertilizer, potash fertilizer with urea compound pace, go hand in hand. Fertilizer production costs are rising, prices have followed up.
Although recent fertilizer prices have risen about 100 yuan, but last year in Shandong 45% general chlorine based compound fertilizer for winter storage of the provisional price of 1930-2050 yuan, a rough calculation, this year the price of fertilizer for winter storage compared to the same period last year fell 100 yuan, the rate of decline is also more obvious. But the fertilizer price trend this year with the same period last year opposite, in December last year after the introduction of compound fertilizer enterprises winter storage tentative prices, affected by raw material prices continue to fall and winter demand factors such as light, the enterprise take the goods and receipts are not ideal, winter storage prices also showed a trend of slow down. Line of sight back this year, although the winter storage progress is still slow, demand is tepid, but some companies in November winter collection is acceptable, in December prices rose slightly after the collection progress is blocked. This year winter storage market and the biggest difference is that the price of raw materials rose sharply last year, forming a favorable support for compound fertilizer prices rebound, and the short term, the price of raw materials support is still relatively strong, fertilizer prices are still up space.
This year's winter storage market on nitrogen and phosphorus, potassium and compound fertilizer prices rose to varying degrees, this has injected vitality into a long downturn in market sentiment, but given the concentrated fertilizer starting from next year is still a long time, there are still more concerns and dealers continue to wait-and-see psychology, and winter demand the trend of decreasing year by year, so the overall demand is still the fertilizer winter storage market can not be ignored negative factors. Based on the above points is expected, although the latter compound fertilizer prices upward trend exists, but due to weak demand constraints or fear will be difficult to match other mainstream fertilizer rally.
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