The Spring Festival holiday has not really ended, the news of the price of fertilizer will make a lot of people speechless. Although the price of each species is still rising, but for the future trend, the industry has differentiated views. Due to the magnitude of the shock, this spring, whether it is production or circulation, the operation will increase the difficulty.
For compound fertilizer, this spring is facing two changes. First, the two sales season approaching. On the one hand, a large number of winter reserves postponed until after the Spring Festival, that is, in mid February. Since the preparation of the Spring Festival, less fertilizer, the spring festival needs to focus on the start. According to the Shandong holiness fertilizer marketing vice president Zhang Lan Zhou source said, now stock openings, is at the beginning of the month there are three dealers call for delivery. On the other hand, the middle of next year, the company will develop a summer fertilizer sales policy. The two is the price fluctuations of raw materials during the winter storage is larger, and the order of concentration, corporate pricing and collection difficulties. Some companies have revealed that the price of raw materials rose a few tens of dollars a week, the ultimate test of corporate capital chain.
This period of time on the analysis of the price trend. One side of the view that before the end of the summer market, the overall market will remain stable. Zhang Lanzhou said that the preparation of the northeast and the Central Plains corn fertilizer sales time approaching, the demand is relatively stable before April, the price of natural support. The other side of the view that the price of raw materials to support the capacity constraints, environmental inspection, low operating rates and other factors will gradually ease, once a substantial increase in fertilizer supply, there will be price risk. Reporters learned from the compound fertilizer production enterprises, the current phosphate and potash stocks are more adequate, while urea reserves more cautious. After the enterprise reflects the urea slight price increase is a foregone conclusion.
Another 1 months before the introduction of summer fertilizer policy, as long as the demand is stable, the price will have practical support. At present, the new single compound fertilizer enterprises is not much, pre orders are being shipped in advance, is expected next week to gradually resume production. Shandong 45% sulfur based conventional compound fertilizer factory price 2100 ~ 2500 yuan (ton price, the same below), 45% conventional chlorine based compound fertilizer factory price 1900 ~ 2000 yuan; Hubei 45% sulfur based conventional compound fertilizer factory price 2000 ~ 2150 yuan; Jiangsu 45% conventional chlorine based compound fertilizer factory price 1850 ~ 1950 yuan.
Comparison of raw materials market before and after the Spring Festival, the largest increase in urea, phosphate and potash narrow range adjustment. After the Spring Festival, urea prices continue to rise, although the increase is not large, but after accumulation, the current price has risen 500 compared to last year to $600. At present, Shandong mainstream ex factory price rose to 1700 actual urea 1700 ~ ~ 1730 yuan, Hebei 1730 yuan, Henan supply 1630 ~ 1700 yuan, Shanxi stations offer 1650 yuan of large granular urea.
Potash prices rose little, with the increase in supply, prices began to loosen. North China 60% potassium chloride out of the store price of 1950 ~ 1970 yuan, the transaction can be discussed. Port, 62% Russian White potassium mainstream quote $2070, the amount of large or negotiable.
Ammonium postganglionic demand has not been restored, the new single turnover less. At present, Hubei 55% powdery ammonium price 1850 ~ 1950 yuan, 58% from 2030 to 2050 yuan a powdery ammonium, 60% powdery ammonium 2200 yuan; 55% powdery ammonium southwest price 1850 ~ 1950 yuan; Shandong 55% powdery ammonium library price 2050 ~ 2080 yuan.
Competing products, mainly to the domestic DAP inquiry. Hubei 64% diammonium factory price 2400 ~ 2450 yuan, northeast southwest 64% diammonium offer 2650 ~ 2800 yuan arrival. This year, the abolition of export tariffs, the international market is concerned, the current upward trend in international prices, a certain degree of support for the domestic market.