Just after the summer, the temperature around the country is also gradually rising, but the fertilizer market has not followed the heating up, and even individual fertilizer species as if suffered cold, the market price down. Although the overall demand in the domestic fertilizer market is less, but the domestic market has a certain amount of demand, and in accordance with the usual practice, summer for the export season, the industry is relatively high for the summer fertilizer market attention, the author arranges the main focus part of the traditional fertilizer and prices are as follows:
Nitrogen: poor demand, no significant positive
Ammonium chloride: high inventory, demand is not supported. According to China fertilizer network statistics, to maintain the normal supply of soda, which started to resume production of ammonium chloride was maintained at 7 percent; in the background of their inventory is high, the demand has not scheduled incremental inventory backlog gradually rise, most enterprises hundreds of tens of thousands of tons of ammonium chloride or even tens of thousands of tons of inventory, also not in the minority and to reduce inventory pressure, enterprises launch guarantee policy, but demand has refused to release, expected late price or ammonium chloride will decline again.
Ammonium sulfate: international good, prices rose. The recent international demand, domestic demand and maintain stable prices rise slightly, ammonium sulfate, ammonium sulfate may return, high-end pricing has risen to 750 yuan / ton factory, although the recent domestic rare earth crackdown is more serious, but learned from the international market, the international stage there is a certain gap in demand, prices will be expected to post appropriate adjustment.
Urea: less domestic demand, export prices. Recently the price of urea overall decline, compared with 51 before a drop of 10-50 yuan / ton, the overall domestic demand is less, and the India market has not been a single procurement intention, because the base is too large to poor domestic urea enterprises started temporarily low consolidation, according to Chinese fertilizer network statistics, as of the end of the week the overall operating rate of urea in 55.21%. But recently noted that coal prices decline, exports no positive support, coupled with the compound fertilizer utilization rate decline, is expected in the short term domestic trouble and foreign invasion, the urea market should be low consolidation.
Phosphate fertilizer: turnover in general, the goods are difficult to increase
Ammonium: off-season rise, turnover in general. Recently by the environmental inspection, the domestic price of powder ammonium slightly upward, but whether it is the downstream distributors or compound fertilizer procurement for the current price of interest is flat, the main reason is because the summer fertilizer with high nitrogen fertilizer, the market for ammonium demand did not seem so urgent, coupled with the early part of the procurement supply has its own consumption. In the short term is expected to be sluggish demand, prices even rose also stimulated the market a large number of goods.
DAP: the base is weak, the price is the price. Diammonium sales nowadays the Northeast has entered the mop up stage, because the enterprise more optimistic expectations for the northeast region and base fertilizer habits change, resulting in some enterprises in the northeast area there are a certain number of off-site storage and enterprise for the return of funds, the price of more than 64% city traveling, it is reported that the Heilongjiang DAP price at 2550 yuan / warehouse operation yet a large number of tons, coupled with international import order, Shandong dealer and is expected to post the price shall be based on the main slide diammonium.
Potash: less demand, lower market expectations
Potassium chloride: supply reduction, the price was up. Recently, the pressure on the northern port of potassium chloride slightly reduced, a slight increase in the price of individual trade prices; Saline Lake will be willing to price is still strong, but the lack of confidence in the downstream agents for sales, the market price has no significant change in circulation. Overall, although some potassium chloride prices edged up, but it is difficult to have a qualitative change.
Potassium sulfate: expected poor, difficult to raise. K-lo main for pre production and transportation, good prices strong, but the overall domestic demand in general, Mannheim offer temporary stability, but no improvement in sales situation, manufacturers more pessimistic expectations, expected short-term market is still the potassium sulfate will only slow changes, and temporarily still biased downward.
Fertilizer: summer is slow-moving, enterprise itself. By the early raw materials increase pull, compound fertilizer enterprises purchase amount, but now the overall raw materials fell into the channel, compound fertilizer sales is almost an emergency stop, summer fertilizer market contraction in sales lower than expected enterprises, dealers expected low rate of appropriate factories recently started down, the overall trend is still expected to post the compound fertilizer will be stable weak.
In summary, this summer, the mainstream of traditional fertilizer prices or will be lower, and in accordance with the current trend, even if the latter part of the export surge, but based on domestic production capacity, the possibility of price decline is relatively low.