In the industry overcapacity, just need to reduce domestic and export situation is grim and caused the market downturn in recent years, each urea prices are described as affecting the people, the industry benefited from low starts and a wide range of corn and rice fertilizer fertilizer demand, urea prices since mid May has continued to rise or maintain high, which in Sichuan urea since the early May began to rise, some enterprises price increase has reached 130-190 yuan / ton. However, as of now, bad factors seem to appear again, urea rose again weak, prices have dropped risk.
First, take the demand will start the situation of the region, the northeast region has grass planting corn fertilizer topdressing with purchasing habits, dressing period only due to a small amount of the shortfall and proper procurement of urea, although due to various factors led to this stage of top dressing fertilizer should have great gap, the shortage of short-term, but has also been at the grassroots level purchase, so the recent intense market should be unsustainable; and the demand of Yunnan, Guangdong and Guangxi provinces is not part of the early arrival of the urea is still a small amount of inventory, and to the Xinjiang and Sichuan area rainfall, sales demand over, will bring bad to the price of urea market. And then talk about the end of the demand area, Henan corn fertilizer demand basically ended, part of urea enterprises said the slowdown in sales of high-end individual price down 20 yuan / ton; Jiangsu Anhui rice fertilizer is also coming to an end, the real estate transaction price of urea also slightly down 10-20 yuan / ton not; others such as Sichuan, Hunan and Hubei provinces and southeast area the demand is gradually disappear, visible, although some areas of agricultural demand has not yet started, but the majority of farmers to enter the interval, the market demand in the short term is difficult to support the price of urea.
In addition, the environmental inspection pressure slightly slow, some enterprises have emission standards, routine maintenance enterprise will continue to resume production, China fertilizer network data show that the urea industry operating rate of about 55% since the end of last week rose to about 57.23%. The Shanxi Dachang daily output has reached 7000 tons, the other two companies before the load is increased by 100%; Inner Mongolia Dachang recovery large particles of full open Anhui two medium-sized enterprises; urea preparation in the middle of this month to resume production, so the operating rate is also picked up in succession and may exceed 60%, in the last round of farmers a strong and low operating rate, the market did not appear serious local lack of fertilizer, and this demand, the price of urea can be said to have risensohigh, some dealers with a small amount of surplus inventory of urea. And in the urea operating rate rise at the same time, the market still needs no industrial turnaround substantial signs of improvement, in addition, the compound fertilizer market downturn, low operating rate (composite mast factory operating rate of about 45%), the urea business is bad.
In addition to these positive factors to support pre urea prices rose gradually to bad, the situation has not improved the export of urea, urea port continue to return, these goods are filled with Shandong, Hebei and Jilin market; and according to the latest news, the middle 110 thousand tons of urea bonded goods a large domestic import and export company pre purchase store in the port of Yantai is also about 15 thousand tons have entered the country; in addition, fertilizer network data show that as of last weekend, the main port of China Hong Kong kept about urea * * million tons, a decrease of about 75 thousand tons of week.
In summary, a lot of bad hit again, urea prices should fall. After all, demand reduced, and even if prices fell, the flow is still a problem then urea, estimated in the short term and should be set in Hong Kong is unlikely, but mostly domestic price is low or the export situation is better when considering the downstream industry temporarily set in Hong Kong, the basic Zhiwangbushang, it seems only lower the price of urea enterprises see if you can mention "cautious" interest in the preparation fertilizer distributor.