We can still remember the last time -- Shandong Hebei prices in late April to mid June, although the last for a long time, but the time is relatively rational, 35 days rose only once, only the price range of 10-20 yuan / ton, the price is mainly due to agricultural demand and spring swept tail, primary dealers are out of stock, later the reason is, dealers worried shortage phenomenon appear similar at the end of the summer and the amount of reserve in advance.
We still remember the northeast of Inner Mongolia in mid June, "sober" - Liaoning factory price once rose 50 yuan / ton, less than a week on the Heilongjiang market a brand wholesale price of urea rose 210 yuan / ton to 1900 yuan / ton...... Agricultural demand, coupled with low labor rates, is not only a low start-up rate for Jilin manufacturers, but also a low supply rate in Inner Mongolia, a large supply province.
We must have this article to discuss all known, it is the Shandong Hebei is likely to fluctuate in a week like northeast of Inner Mongolia, July 5-8, Shandong mainstream factory price urea rose about 60 yuan / ton, July 7th Hebei Dachang day factory price rose 60 yuan / ton, reason nothing in the operating rate of recovery is very slow, and the rainfall promoted agriculture preparation fertilizer, coupled with the construction of compound fertilizer enterprises rate rise very quickly...
First of all, the recovery rate of urea is quite slow. The Shandong is a high-end equipment enterprises offer the reasons for production of urea for nearly a month, the side LED manufacturers offer medium price increase; the second is Jiangsu manufacturers have been half load operation, even during 6-9, the full range of parking, Jiangsu started to demand the low rate of Jiangsu and Anhui intermittent period pressure small, Shandong Shanxi part of the flow of goods in the region Shandong, the price is traceable; third is Inner Mongolia two companies respectively in 6 months early to stop production for a month, another reason for the temporary parking equipment manufacturers for a week, Inner Mongolia low operating rate is one of the important reasons for Hebei manufacturers reported price increase, like the original spring Inner Mongolia urea to Hebei, Hebei the real estate market urea prices upside down severely, until recently, been the opposite, even Shandong Hebei small amounts of urea to the northeast, Shandong, Hebei manufacturers pressure It is reasonable to try to increase the quoted price.
Rainfall, of course, is also an important reason. Today, partial drought, local floods, moderate rainfall and proper fertilization are also sensible. So is Inner Mongolia in Northeast China, and so does Shandong and Hebei. Since grain prices in general, rainfall will be appropriate to put more fertilizer, not rain, then basically do not intend to topdressing, after all, more inputs may not be able to exchange slightly higher yields in the fall.
Another reason is also very important, compound fertilizer enterprises early low operating rate, but this week the composite mast factory average operating rate soared to about 53% weeks, an increase of 15%, autumn fertilizer production moves slightly faster, but according to the Chinese fertilizer compound fertilizer network analysts understand, which are also unable to start early due to environmental protection and the comparison of urea and other raw materials bearish psychological result recently slightly concentrated urea cover.
Of course, which are also some speculation factors, such as coal supply, coal prices soared, concentrated agricultural dealers receiving preparation time and industrial fertilizer compound fertilizer enterprises have some overlap, the summer peak electricity, industrial power plant slightly centralized procurement of urea desulfurization stock, a factory in Qinghai accidental shutdown, may last for two months, Xinjiang ushered in the strict environmental protection examination etc..
By July 9th, the price of urea in Shandong, Hebei was stable for a while. In short, our dealers should be rational when prices rise. Of course, if the time is too close, then only the goods will be taken.