Since the 7 month of the last 15 days, urea prices all the way down, and the whole Shandong area is larger, mainstream factory price fell 30-60 yuan / ton to about 1540-1580 yuan / ton, Henan area fell 40-80 yuan / ton to about 1510-1560 yuan / ton, transactions are also available, such as from Shandong Laizhou market found part of urea for industrial factory 1480 yuan / ton, to agricultural ex factory price is only 1510-1520 yuan / ton. After the two industrial and agricultural industry trends are frequently lost, urea of the latter did not hold too much hope, but recently learned about the fed from the manufacturers marketing situation has emerged, many negative factors led to urea market weakness, lack of confidence by the manufacturers, distributors and even more so, not hoarding, not purchasing no, but the real psychological adventure dealer.
But even if the price of urea in the fall, but the overall level compared to the same period last year, has been very high, the market can be described as "cannot be mention in the same breath, high prices, some dealers in the local market on the one hand feeling of urea, on the other hand to adapt to the changing market; after all this year, raw material prices, the first half of urea enterprises by the inspection of environmental protection and other factors, the operating rate is low for a long period of time, prices hovering high and higher than the same period last year is normal, and now the price of urea why price more than?
Let me see how warm:
The first national agricultural fertilizer demand over the majority of the provincial agricultural sales company has been in recuperate, even a small number of terminal farmers are still seeking sporadic dressing in the summer off small, but the wholesale / retail prices also fell, or to the terminal to send some gifts as farmers preferential subsidies; with the addition of fertilizer on the downstream end of summer, energy transfer to the second half of the light storage market, but from the point of view in recent years, light storage expected value is not high, the grain price is not high, dealers and farmers cash flow is not sufficient, directly hindered the light storage process; and the off-season market, the busy season is not frequent, increased uncertainty and the risk of light storage, so always prefer dealers with the mining, senior strategy, not rashly gambling, but that there are still some uncertainty The impact of the factors, when you need to pay attention to the downstream fertilizer, mentality and progress. Secondly to see the procurement of compound fertilizer enterprises, but autumn is high phosphate based, nitrogen fertilizer demand should not be too much, and from the view of environmental protection inspection efforts, the second half will still be the norm, even if the composite mast plant will not be affected too much, but the small and medium-sized enterprises is bound to be affected, to reduce the operating rate of lead reduced demand, added a urea market; and export market expectations, the final total bid tender in India in July 20th was 445 thousand tons, Chinese accounted for the number of zero, another set of data statistics show that the first half of China urea export volume of 2 million 750 thousand tons, down 48.5% year-on-year, of which the number of exports to India was reduced by 77% to 349 thousand tons, export data from this point of view, the price and quantity of export to the domestic market to boost the role of success.
Based on the above factors, in order to ensure the price of urea can not fall too much, a few manufacturers, the price may be fed marketing base is a selfish move; but after all the terminal goods enthusiasm is not high, always with the mining mentality, or collocation fertilizer sales in order to get some profit. Short term market demand intermission, buy atmosphere low, prices will continue to decline.