Wild rose yesterday to the manufacturer of urea, it is a beautiful surprise, the magnitude of the range, slightly wide, on the market today continue to create beautiful, especially in Shandong, two rivers area increase significantly, as of now rose 30-70 yuan / ton, in addition to the price of urea, supply tense, local traders buy no door such as the Shandong area; urea mainstream factory price rose to 1630-1640 yuan / ton, low turnover, Hebei mainstream factory price rose to 1620-1660 yuan / ton, the transaction can be low, other regions have different range of prices or high stability. For agricultural off-season, the fall of the urea but instead gained, in the face of such a market, dealers have puzzled, urea prices change unpredictably clear rules, manufacturers.
Recently, in the process of talking with the dealer about the size of urea, the same question was asked: what is the urea market? Many dealers have a mixed judgement on the late price trend of urea. Industry and agricultural dealers reflect the situation is different, but also slightly the same, the downstream procurement progress did not catch up with the magnitude of the price increases. Farmers take off-season, only some regions such as the southwest and northwest regional agricultural slightly northwest market demand, but the downstream distribution amount has reached 80%, the southwest regional demand though, but a small amount of goods to go north and scattered, although the local light storage, but the time is premature, fear of a variable number; compound fertilizer etc. industrial demand is limited, even in some downstream enterprises by the examination of the impact of environmental protection, low operating rate, resulting in direct delivery motivation.
Urea prices are mainly due to the following support:
First, raw materials, coal, goods tight price yang. Since this year, safety inspection and environmental protection inspection has been the chemical fertilizer, chemical production process mainly with two aspects of regulation, after the occurrence of mine accidents in Shanxi since before, to avoid such accidents and again become the focus, the coal enterprises are required to stop operations for rectification, resulting in coal prices will rise, tight supply, according to n some manufacturers of urea Jiangsu, said raw material coal to priced at around 1100 yuan / ton; coupled with the late fall and winter coal consumption gradually increased, coal supply is still facing a state of tension, short-term or even medium-term support materials on the cost of urea is still large.
Two environmental inspection is not reduced. This year the environmental inspection has been accompanied by the development of all walks of life, with a new round of "2+26" environmental protection inspection launched, urea enterprises in Shandong, Hebei and other places have been asked to reduce production lead to urea supply tension, some dealers purchase difficult; also affected by the "big nineteen", chemical industry, chemical fertilizer enterprises will undoubtedly was ordered to reduce the load, means that the last period of time until the "big nineteen" end, Shandong Hebei urea enterprises operating rate will not be too high.
Three, India again bidding speculation merit. India IPL company on Saturday once again released a new urea procurement bidding, the bidding ended in September 25th, prior to the time of shipment for November 8th; and with the international urea prices rose once again exceeded expectations, boosting the domestic urea market, followed by domestic urea began to counter attack, prices, market participants the India tender is expected to be more optimistic.
In the price game frequently in the urea market comeback let manufacturers get a win-win situation, but also still worried. Because in addition to the positive support, one of the key concerns of urea is the trend of lower demand in some areas such as Hebei, some fertilizer procurement was not much, or is the remaining inventory except in the early winter late supplement can be combined with single; agricultural light storage is not clear, high market increased the operating risk, downstream will continue to be vigilant, urea market next must also experienced a bloody fight, screenwriters should also timely shot.