The recent industry is the largest urea fertilizer mentioned this week rose more than 100 yuan / ton, the Urea Export rose speed has a domestic "Renaissance" to catch up; and a price of ammonium off-season - up, the individual factory price again and again upward, one day price hike of three times, between the various enterprises have night suspended orders, cover Xishou, many anecdotal analysis for more than two kinds of fertilizer price factors, but the author found that the present stage is also curious, diammonium has the above two kinds of fertilizer price factors:
First, compare the urea and ammonium prices and the current market situation of diammonium. The main reason is the export price of urea this week to bring greater positive boost, week rose more than 30 U.S. dollars / ton, while the DAP learned from the international market, the recent China and India to talk to the DAP the latest transaction price of $370 / ton, compared with the previous overall transaction price was up another price; the factor is the cost of raw materials upstream, and as everyone knows, the main raw material for ammonium phosphate: sulfur, phosphate rock, liquid ammonia, ammonia as the proportion of small, phosphorite annual fluctuations, the cost is decided to sulfur, sulfur and the recent rise more fierce, since the price has approached the spot port sulphur 1100 yuan / ton, the cost of supporting efforts sufficient; secondly affected the domestic environmental protection and safety inspection, ammonium and urea overall production is relatively small, the market supply is slightly less, and diammonium from last year At the end of the year began to plan production, coupled with environmental inspection of enterprises along the Yangtze River have higher supervision, individual plant is also affected by the pressure in the examination starts running low, the overall inventory pressure is less, while the international market also said Chinese diammonium in the international market supply can be sold is relatively small.
So, why is the price of DAP still in the near future? The main aspects are as follows:
First of all, the North China market sales have not yet ended, the emergence of compound fertilizer dumped goods. Recently learned from the market, Shandong, two to 57% from the low-end diammonium prices at 2150 yuan / ton, the main reason is that the environmental protection effect, part of compound fertilizer production enterprises, raw materials more surplus next season, while demand also takes a long time, the raw material into the agricultural market price of diammonium, slightly affected by dealers although said late or save some replenishment needs, but the basic market price is generally short, no goods will be.
Second, domestic demand is weak. At the present stage is in the stage of the sales fall diammonium, less late replenishment quantity, and although there are temporary winter storage in advance price, but from the northeast and northwest market was informed that the situation hit the stage is relatively poor, and even the possibility of money at this stage of delivery is relatively low, expected winter storage will be the fastest start in the future by the middle of next month, the market demand without support, even if prices increase also slightly weak.
In summary, the domestic price of diammonium remaining support, but not yet, even it is difficult to have raised the recent price, learned from the market, the end of the month will be held again in Bayuquan for another round of the "6+2" meeting, when the winter storage policy will gradually become clear, do not rule out at this time the price hike of diammonium may.