Since the last day of September so far, ammonia Market opened up prices skyrocketing, and greatly. Such as the Hebei Cangzhou area of liquid ammonia mainstream Cheng Dui factory reference price of 210 yuan turnover (ton price, the same below) to 2880 yuan, Shandong local Pu Zhang 170 yuan to 2730-2950 yuan, Jiangsu rose 190 yuan to 3080-3100 yuan (Cheng Dui), Anhui rose 100 yuan to 2880-2980 yuan (Cheng Dui), and broad 50-150 yuan to 2900-2980 yuan (Cheng Dui); for the manufacturers, while immersed in the joy of the price, but on the other hand also has great concerns, namely the price rushed to the high resistance in the lower reaches is getting stronger, although the purchase, but the enthusiasm has decreased, but also the existence of "fall" risks, if the liquid ammonia continue to rise, some manufacturers of urea and methanol production will be transferred to the ammonia Market, there is a growing amount of late supply price risk, fear may fall; in view of the rapid liquid ammonia Rise, urea manufacturers heartbeat action.
From the point of view according to the trend and the current price, far higher than the same period last year, if you look at the moment around the market of liquid ammonia mainstream price higher than the same period last year, the level of 500-950 yuan, or alarming, and tomorrow some manufacturers ammonia prices continue to rise; look at the current price of urea higher than the same period last year the price of 400-500 yuan compared with the same period last year. The rate of the same firms surprised. The factors that lead to such a gap between the two years lie in the following aspects:
One is the inspection of environmental protection this year than in previous years, and "look back" is also common, ammonia and urea manufacturers operating rate is not high, and this year a number of chemical companies (such as a Hubei two factory) temporary fault explosion accident and safety device, indirectly led to the strengthening of environmental inspection, liquid ammonia, urea whole supply is limited, and I will not ask for. Two is the cost support of raw material coal. This year, the coal safety accidents, environmental protection production, led to the coal supply tight, some manufacturers of raw material supply will be out of stock of the situation, coal prices continued to rise, such as a coal enterprise since October 1st price increase of 70-75 yuan / ton, even if the recent local coal prices have come down, and the latter may be affected by the regulation right down but, amplitude should not possible, and with the majority of district heating have been carried out, the coal supply may be tight, prices continued at a high level the possibility of a larger production enterprises continue to be the support into a foot.
Some manufacturers said prices too high may lead to ammonia will be affected by the positive factors of good times don't last long, but the support (operating rate is low, the cost of raw materials) ammonia enterprises raised the price is reasonable, and the recent nineteen conference held by the Hebei and Shandong area soon, chemical fertilizer, chemical enterprises will have direct or indirect influence then, the liquid ammonia enterprises operating rate will be affected, such as the Hebei Cangzhou plan a liquid ammonia device will overhaul before nineteen, ammonia prices may also increased the opportunity; comparing the overall market price of urea, a slight correction, it is understood today, individual manufacturers of urea prices rose, but also due to reduced urea factory operating rate the past two days, and learned from the dealer's new single urea market volume is very few, only a small amount of compensation in the first half of November Single demand, the majority of dealers and provincial agricultural materials, such as urea prices, fear of downside risks, lack of confidence, wait and see.
Ammonia prices in most areas have towards 3000 yuan or even is already far beyond this price market, according to market manufacturers said net profit of ammonia has been more than 200 yuan, and the profit has exceeded the level of urea and methanol, so in the goods market slowdown in urea, urea manufacturers may have some the heart, but why not, adjust the production center is a wise choice, it is learned from the market, local manufacturers have been in action, ensure that the market can reach the optimum state.