Although the early individual Hubei small factory 64% diammonium rose to 2800 yuan / ton factory, but because the number of small, basically no impact on the market, but according to a recent Hubei individual said 64% Heilongjiang Dachang phosphate, diammonium in advance tentative quotation plan raised to 3100 yuan / ton, yesterday is from the factory perspective when under the seller's market has entered the market of diammonium in addition, there are a certain number of dealers and the stock price gap, diammonium may come true in the spring of this year when using fertilizer; although diammonium consumption is decreasing year by year, but because of the potential demand for larger, later there must be replenishment, in accordance with the development trend of diammonium now offers enterprises surviving and diammonium upward trend, but no downstream goods plan, the main worry about the following aspects:

 

First, there are more low prices in the early stage. The part of the dealer approved diammonium prices, but they also know that early stage supply price most dealers hand there are a certain amount, although do not know the specific number of low-cost, but certainly not in the minority, the price and the price of the previous season season things often happen, and funding diammonium higher costs, profits are relatively low, most the dealer is not expected to hold a long time, and the spring sales after the start of a part of the dealers plan to achieve their expected profits in sales, while the DAP pricing is too high, will reduce the purchase intention.

Secondly, low price at the base level is relatively low. Learned from the current Heilongjiang market feedback, a large agricultural business in Heilongjiang 64% out of the mainstream of diammonium price at 3050 yuan / ton, individual high-end brand library is only 3000 yuan / ton, and the base and enquiry number of transactions are relatively small, even if the transaction in accordance with the price, so it is not enough to support 3100 yuan / the factory price after tons of arrival, dealers can be relatively small operation space; stock dealers also said that although as with the previous combined sales of low-priced goods, it may obtain a certain profit, but the purchasing quantity is increased and increased cost and profit decrease, so the dealer procurement plan was shelved again.

Again, compound fertilizer can be replaced. Because of the relative diammonium compound fertilizer, nutrient ratio is slightly better, although the traditional fertilizer demand in the market on a high base, but in the last two years of market feedback, the amount is decreasing year by year DAP, and the main consumption areas in most ammonium phosphate, diammonium phosphate and compound fertilizer can replace each other, although the current compound fertilizer price over the same period last year is much higher, but the price of diammonium support is relatively limited, part of diammonium dealers said, such as insufficient supply after the late presentation of diammonium compound fertilizer to consider the amount of purchase sales.

Finally, the capacity base of diammonium is too large. According to China fertilizer network statistics, the current national design capacity of diammonium still over 24 million tons, at present most of the factories have different degrees of limited production, but completely out of business in the past two years in production of diammonium less and less, due to the existence of a variable risk of late supply, dealers to temporarily take a wait-and-see attitude.

In summary, diammonium charge the cost of support causes or save some may offer up, but the basic market demand has not yet started, is expected to purchase a large number of dealers will be relatively low, is expected this stalemate at least delayed until the beginning of March.