Gongs and drums, firecrackers, the New Year bell accompanied by the footsteps of spring quietly, full of joy when people celebrate the year of the dog after the arrival of the fertilizer market of compound fertilizer to sound more and more intense, a part of the spring market anticipation, more confidence, as the late centralized purchase part of the inevitable tensions exist; people who lack of confidence in the market outlook, the market will repeat that spring last year. Which one is more reasonable? Is the aftermarket of compound fertilizer available?

First, the demand for the compound fertilizer market is shrinking. To change the food prices of vegetables and fruits in the doldrums and planting structure in recent years, to a certain extent affected the use of chemical fertilizer, chemical fertilizer and national advocacy of zero growth, from 2020 is not long, and the organic fertilizer promoted in a variety of factors, reduce the demand for the Hefei complex is a high probability event. In the compound fertilizer market itself overcapacity, enterprise competition is increasingly fierce, so many large compound fertilizer enterprise capital chain rupture, parking collapse phenomenon exist in 2017, under the pressure of environmental protection, shutting down a few of the enterprises, although the production enterprises in the case of declining, the recent demand of compound fertilizer is still not the season therefore, to reduce prices, while the number of suppliers, demand is shrinking, so still oversupply of compound fertilizer enterprises market can not be blindly optimistic, a few enterprises plan the fifteen after a preferential policy, of course, only part of the product formula.

Secondly, the cost of enterprise survival is increasing. In 2017, the environmental pressure is increasing, and the increase of environmental taxes, increased transportation costs and other factors are the main factors causing the increase of the cost of compound fertilizer enterprises, after the course, the most important factor is the cost of raw materials increased, the Spring Festival, the market steadily rose to urea, urea at Shandong mainstream factory price 1940-2000 yuan / ton, individual enterprises interested in this month before the end of up to 2000 yuan / ton, the high nitrogen compound fertilizer in spring needs more, the cost increase has become inevitable, the short term price in Hefei is still supported by complex factors.

Again, the demand for the first month after fifteen will be gradually started.  After the Spring Festival, the only local sporadic start, Shandong local fertilizer products in the continuous underground shift, but the market is still relatively slow digestion, after all, the spring festival atmosphere is still strong, especially in the northeast, the fifteen most dealers will open the door welcoming City, when the market demand will gradually appear, especially in Shandong, the two rivers and the Northeast demand will increase, March will be a month of demand. Has been mentioned in previous articles downstream about preparing fertilizer into about 5-6, some areas may be more recent, so we should pay close attention to market on the previous low supply rate of digestion, which determines the compound fertilizer enterprises rose after the new offer is quickly accepted by the market.

In conclusion, having good bad factors, the market outlook expectations and excessive pessimism are undesirable, cautious optimism, quickly digest inventory, with the focus on materials market and operating conditions, the short term will remain stable in compound fertilizer adjustment, fifteen month after the wait-and-see market situation.