Near the May Day Labor Day, most of the northern part of China entered the spring ploughing season, terminal procurement was basically completed, and the demand for surplus replenishment was negligible. With the end of the northern spring fertilizer market in the north, the summer fertilizer market in the Central Plains and southern parts of the region was in progress. The focus of the recent fertilizer market is mainly on the urea, starting to rebound since the last ten days. At present, the mainstream urea plant in Shandong is quoted at 1960-1980 yuan (ton price, the same below), due to the influence of spring cleaning and industrial construction restriction, it is expected to be consolidated before the end of the month.

At the present stage, the market demand of compound fertilizer is mainly high nitrogen corn fertilizer. It is self-evident that the urea market has great influence on the price of high nitrogen fertilizer. Once the urea price fluctuate, it will make the enterprises adjust the price of high nitrogen fertilizer, and the summer fertilizer market has started up to the present, and the 40% chlorine high nitrogen corn fertilizer in the whole country is in the summer. Such as 28-6-6, the mainstream quotation has been concentrated in the vicinity of 1900-2050 yuan, because the volatility of the raw material market, the late trend is not clear, and the downstream stock action is slow, so the recent enterprise quotation is relatively stable. In addition to the effect of urea fluctuation on the price of high nitrogen compound fertilizer, the summer fertilizer market is in a weak steady state. Although it has not completely "inherited" the weakness of winter storage and spring market, it still does not reach the hot atmosphere in the strong season market. Both both demand and supply are not satisfactory.

First, the demand side. In the late April, most parts of the north, such as northeast and Inner Mongolia, have already entered the spring sowing period, the terminal sales are basically finished, and only the demand for replenishment is saved, and the spring market is at the end. Following the end of the northern market, the local summer fertilizer market in the Central Plains and the south is started. The market progress of Henan, Hebei and Shanxi is a little ahead of Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui and other places. Not only is the dealer preparation, but also a few grass-roots units have begun to take the goods, and the terminal market is slightly mature. Although some areas have reached the summer fertilizer peak season in the summer, the market promotion in some areas is still not ideal, one reason is that the price of compound fertilizer is high, and the purchasing power in the lower reaches is insufficient. The price of chemical fertilizer in the spring has been higher than that of the same period in the past years. Because of the low grain price and less profit in the grass-roots level in recent years, the purchasing power at the basic level of the fertilizer preparation stage is slightly insufficient; two the local area is at the beginning of the high nitrogen fertilizer market, and the related preferential policies of some enterprises are still not clear, and the downstream wait-and-see mood is strong.

Secondly, supply side. According to the net, the overall construction rate of the national large compound fertilizer enterprises has been kept at about 60% since the early April, and it has improved by nearly 10% at the end of March. In this way, the production situation of the enterprises is greatly improved, but in June this year Qingdao will hold the "SCI summit" to maintain the atmosphere quality, environmental protection or environmental protection during the "summit". There will be pressure again. It is rumored that the chemical enterprises in Shandong, such as Linyi, will begin to carry out the comprehensive regulation of production in the middle of May. If the strength is large, it is expected that the production activities of the fertilizer enterprises in the region will be greatly limited and the start rate is likely to decline; in addition, the impact of the low prices of small and medium-sized real estate enterprises in recent years is impacted. The market share of the traditional brand products has been hindered, the market share has declined, and the pressure on the inventory of high nitrogen products in some enterprises has increased, so a few enterprises will reduce the load and digest the stock in the later period.

To sum up, after the rebound of the price of urea, the price of high nitrogen fertilizer has been supported, and there has not been a large fluctuation in the near future. However, the market is still in a weak steady state in the short term due to the influence of raw materials, demand and supply. In the long run, the change of raw material and supply and demand must be paid close attention to.