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In the near stage, the centralized purchase of the downstream industry has brought strong support to the price of urea, and the price of urea enterprises continues to climb. As of now, the price of Shandong's urea main stream has risen to 1980-2060 yuan / ton, and the purchase price of Linyi is up to 2040-2060 yuan / ton. However, from the market, recently, raw material procurement in downstream factories has slowed down. On the eve of the Qingdao summit, rumors about production restrictions on the market are rising, and the downstream industry is also taking into account this, especially the compound fertilizer enterprise, which produces high nitrogen fertilizer in the summer. In the short term, industry may continue to bring price support to low - inventory urea enterprises, even if environmental inspections are not available. In view of the serious impact of production, in view of the large inventory of the compound fertilizer plant, the production of its products also takes a period of time, and the price of urea can not continue to rely on it.
The data of the compound fertilizer market in China fertilizer network showed that although the price of urea has been rising for a long time for a long period of time, other phosphorus and potassium materials also rose or pulled up, but the overall compound fertilizer price is still dominated by stability, which means that it has been greatly stressed in the product sales phase. Due to high cost, some compound fertilizer prices in two rivers have risen slightly, but many areas have entered the replenishment stage, the price rise still can not stimulate the enthusiasm of the downstream procurement, the overall goods are still slow.
Considering the more prudent operation of domestic agricultural procurement, the business of urea enterprises is still based on industry, so the reduction of downstream industrial demand will certainly cause a blow to market confidence. Recently, the urea enterprises have indicated that their transaction prices have been loosened.
However, the long term cautious purchasing attitude in agriculture also makes the urea demand increase just now when fertilizer is used. Some dealers in Northeast China have preliminarily revealed their desire to buy Urea for the pursuit of fertilizer. The sale price of urea in some terminal markets has gone up to 2100-2150 yuan per ton, and the retail price of urea up to 2200 yuan per ton on individual markets, and the dealers said that the price of urea at the time of sale of base manure is much larger than that in previous years. Higher, its reserve is lower than that in previous years. At that time, the price of the recovery period should return to reason, so the urea was sold out in the following period, but it could not be returned.
In the pre - compilation stage, there were many different kinds of urea replacing products such as "new nitrogen fertilizer" and "large particle nitrogen fertilizer" in many areas. To a certain extent, the gap in urea demand was reduced. The market has also brought a certain benefit.
It is worth paying attention to the large amount of urea reserves of the major agricultural companies. In recent days, the confidence of the urea market is insufficient and the agricultural companies will be shipped first on the occasion of the start of the agricultural demand. Therefore, the pressure of the enterprise should be difficult to reduce in a short time. Therefore, the price of urea should have a stable and weak stage.
In the light of the current enterprise no sale pressure, the price of urea should be stable in the short term; then the industrial purchase will continue to slow down, the sales pressure will gradually increase, the price of the urea will turn to the weak, and the price of some enterprises will not be excluded; the benefit of the enterprise after the start of the agricultural needs should be limited. And the procurement performance of the major agricultural companies is worth looking forward to, and the urea market is expected to improve.
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