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In June, there was a lot of high temperature in the whole country. With the heavy rain in the local area, the summer of this year was very difficult for people to sleep. By the end of June and early July, the operation rate of most compound fertilizer enterprises in China was at a low level. According to the statistics of China fertilizer network, the overall utilization rate was only around 35%. Such a light market, such low rate of start, this summer, the compound fertilizer enterprises, facing the coming autumn fertilizer market, when the raw materials should be a large amount of procurement? How does the product be produced? How will the new price and policy be made? It has become a headache for most enterprises.
First, the purchase of raw materials is not purchased? In summer, the demand for fertilizer is basically finished. At present, most enterprises have only sporadic goods, some enterprises even stall. Then, the next is the production work of autumn fertilizer. At present, the price of urea is at the high level. Most enterprises think that it is not the time to purchase urea at this time, and it is normal to buy and buy according to demand; ammonium chloride is also in the autumn compound. The main raw materials for fertilizer production, and the recent price of ammonium chloride continue to tighten prices, especially in the East China market, manufacturers start low, and receive sufficient orders in advance. At present, the dry ammonium plant of a factory in Tianjin is still 5, and the price of the factory is stable at 600-610 yuan / ton, while the compound fertilizer enterprise is more nervous to purchase ammonium chloride; the potassium chloride market is similar to ammonium chloride and is reluctant to sell the price, so it is difficult to purchase, but for the compound fertilizer enterprise, the demand of ammonium phosphate in the later autumn fertilizer is larger. So at present, we should pay close attention to the ammonium phosphate. At present, the current price of 55% powder mono ammonium in the southwest is stable at 2080-2150 yuan / ton, and the price of individual low end is 2050 yuan per ton, but the expectation of rising and falling is all in the market, so it is also prudent and prudent to buy a large amount of ammonium.
Two, fall fertilizer production or does not produce? According to the old habits, the winter wheat fertilizer demand was started in 9-10 month, and after the enterprise ended the summer fertilizer, the production work of Wheat Fertilizer began after July, but the stock market was not stable, and the demand for the next half year of compound fertilizer was uncertain, and the plan of fertilizer application was cancelled in the lower reaches, which made the compound fertilizer enterprise very headache. If a large amount of autumn fertilizer is produced at present, it is afraid that the late demand is depressed, the product stock is backlog and the pressure is great; and if the fall fertilizer is not produced in the near future, the demand for the later period will come, the production time is limited and the market supply is tense, then the production capacity can not meet the demand of the market, so the compound fertilizer enterprise is in a dilemma.
Three, the autumn fertilizer new price and policy how to make? At present, most compound fertilizer enterprises have not yet issued the quotation or policy for autumn fertilizer. Most of them are parking and looking, holding orders, purchasing materials and studying new prices. Of course, it is difficult to have a bright situation in the recent fall. Some plans to produce some low-priced explosive products and profit from enterprise receipts; some plans are in the current summer. On the basis of the price of seasonal fertilizer, the policy of interest payment is introduced; some expectations of 45% general chlorine based products are between 2000-2100 yuan / ton, and all kinds of sounds emerge in endlessly, but most of them are guessing, so it is too early to expect bullish or to see.
According to the usual practice of the past year, most enterprises focused on the introduction of autumn fertilizer quotations and policies in the middle of the mid July, so it is still to wait and see the pace of raw materials procurement.
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