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Recently, with the gradual decline of urea quotations, the demand for the domestic summer fertilizer market is coming to an end, and the autumn fertilizer market is gradually expanding. As one of the leading role of high phosphate fertilizer in the fall, ammonium phosphate is also rising in the near future. Recently, the price of the 57% diammonium North China station has been rising from the market. To 2500 yuan / ton, the quotation of 64% diammonium also rose to about 2800 yuan / ton, and the quoted price of 64% diammonium in Xinjiang also rose to about 2950 yuan / ton, and the enterprises in the Hubei area were also not willing to be lonely, and the quotation of 64% diammonium production in the near future also rose to 2650 yuan per ton, but the market acceptance was poor and the dealer's attitude remained, then two. Can the increase of ammonium increase in the fall market? According to the current situation, the possibility is relatively large.
First of all, the export market has a strong support. In the near future, the diammonium export market is stable, even individual factory bulk freight has risen to 418 US dollars per ton. In addition, the recent dollar exchange rate is strong and the export market is further profitable. The export of enterprises in Hubei region is more. The industry is expected to be limited in the fall of Hubei region and even individual enterprises. In order to supply the export market, the domestic supply will be suspended. Although the demand for the autumn diammonium market will be lower than the spring demand, it is expected that the diammonium enterprise will occupy a relatively active advantage in the fall under the premise of supply reduction.
Secondly, low price "leftovers" at the grass-roots level is not much. In North China and East China, with the gradual consumption of small demand in the market and the recent increase in the price of factories, there are few available sources of low price goods available on the market, such as only 2320-2350 yuan per ton at the low end of 57% diammonium in Shandong region a month ago, and there is a certain resistance to the sale of high prices, but the recent 57% diammonium is out. The price of the Treasury in the 2450 yuan / ton also has a deal, the purchase mentality of some big traders is also changing, and the active demand for the buyout dealers is increasing gradually. In addition, although the 200 thousand tons of surplus goods are slightly lower in Xinjiang region, the demand for the local apparent consumption still remains a certain gap, and the market is expected to still have a certain potential demand. Quantity.
Finally, the raw material is rising. The shortage of liquid ammonia in Yunnan enterprises in the near future occurred in real time, and even the price of liquid ammonia in the previous period increased to 4000 yuan per ton, and the price of phosphorus ore has been mentioned in the industry. Even though the current price and the previous period are only a few tens of yuan up, the supply is still a little bit from the factory. There is a significant shortage.
In conclusion, although it is too early to use fertilizer at present in the fall, the price of diammonium increases or has become a final decision in accordance with the current operation situation. Some traders are also in the proper purchase. It is expected that the market price will gradually rise to the current price level.
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