Compound fertilizer was first affected by environmental factors this year. It has lost its advantage in price. To make matters worse, the price of raw materials for compound fertilizer has increased rapidly, and the price of compound fertilizer has generally increased. It is understood that the autumn wheat proportion of 45% CL mainstream factory in 2080-2200 yuan / ton, and the same period last year in the price of 1800-1950 yuan / ton, a higher 300 yuan / ton. Secondly, in addition to the price of agricultural products failed to arouse the enthusiasm of the people to fertilize, so the autumn compound fertilizer market, which had attracted a lot of attention, has now been sighed. Then, if compound fertilizer can be turned over, we can only watch the winter storage market.

Environmental pressure is not decreasing.

Enterprises will face difficulties.

2018 can be said to be the year of implementation of environmental policy. At present, China's environmental protection system in the laws, regulations, policies, standards and other aspects of the "fierce medicine", the full range of policy implementation, implementation of many enterprises began to take a difficult step. More than half of 2018 has passed. Will environmental protection be slack in 2019? The answer is of course not. In 2019, the implementation of various environmental indicators will be a tough battle for enterprises. In the final analysis, the government will only increase its environmental protection efforts in the future. Therefore, enterprises must respond to the national environmental protection plan.

In fact, the pressure of environmental protection is not a driving force, which is forcing enterprises to take the green development line. Zhang Hanming, general manager of Fujian Lvwei Agricultural Investment Co., Ltd, said: "In January this year, the state began to levy environmental protection tax, which undoubtedly increased the production costs of enterprises, and even many small-scale producers can not afford to stop production. For large enterprises, we must also pay attention to upgrading the device level. Facing the enormous pressure of environmental protection, both large and small enterprises are difficult, but in order to develop the country, the path of environmental protection must be taken.

Indeed, we change our minds to think that the increase in environmental protection is actually forcing the survival of the fittest enterprises and realizing the production capacity reduction of the fertilizer industry in a disguised way. Who can become a real "King" under great pressure? It depends on the ability and development strategy of the enterprise.

Rising raw materials

The compound fertilizer rises.

Autumn dressing season has finally come, the original compound fertilizer market can usher in a small peak season, but unfortunately, compound fertilizer market once again appeared the phenomenon of peak season is not prosperous. The reason is that the price of raw materials in the compound fertilizer market is in a rising stage recently, the water is rising, and the natural downstream distributors refuse to pass up this good opportunity to raise the price, so the compound fertilizer will inevitably rise.

_Take urea as an example, since late August, a strong rebound has occurred after the bottom hit, and even has the potential to return to 2000 yuan / ton. Urea has slowed down in the last week, but the big factories are still soaring, and small factories are choosing to follow suit.

Although the phosphate fertilizer has not risen, it has always been a high price. Zhang Hanming said: "At present, about the first half of September, the orders of major enterprises have basically stabilized. Even if the current price of diammonium is not low, but the bullish mood is strong, it is estimated that prices will still rise in the last two weeks.

The domestic potash market, though the overall turnover was weak. However, businesses are very conscious of price and there are tight supply and price increases in some parts of the market. It is understood that 60% of crystal potassium chloride official arrival quotation to maintain at 2300 yuan / ton, Qinghai Gemuzangge factory quotation increased by 50 yuan, 60% crystal potassium chloride to 2350 yuan / ton. Dealers in all parts of the country reserves regular stock, stable quotations, and the mainstream arrival price is 2200 yuan / ton.

Zhang Hanming said that the price of compound fertilizer is high and it is difficult to raise prices. Although the price is high, but the profit is basically the same as last year, in the final analysis, the price of agricultural products is not high, people do not have too much enthusiasm to invest in crops, natural downstream distributors also dare not take more goods.

In this case, the major manufacturers unexpectedly launched a "pick-up and return" and other disguised preferential policies. Recently, there has been a wave of "play first, buy later" craze. Enterprises first gather major dealers to some beautiful scenery, and then organize "study tours". In fact, play is the main, through playing together to draw closer to the feelings of dealers, and finally talk about sales. But this new marketing mode has not fundamentally solved the problem of the slump in the fertilizer market.

But the autumn fertilizer market has been basically finalized, and the compound fertilizer is going to turn over in autumn, I'm afraid it will be late. But it can not be killed by a stick. In September, the compound fertilizer market will soon enter the winter storage stage. So what will happen to the winter storage market?

The market for compound fertilizer is uncertain.

The winter store is ready for sale.

As things stand, it may be too early to talk about winter storage, but there will indeed be some fast-moving dealers looking to the market. Therefore, we can not avoid talking about it.

If raw material prices remain high, the price of winter storage of compound fertilizer may be higher than in previous years, but it is not clear whether dealers can buy it. Then, once the price of raw materials rises sharply again in the later period, it will cause the enterprises to make no profits and compensate. Therefore, the introduction of winter storage price for compound fertilizer enterprises should be in a dilemma. But with the passage of time, especially in the mid-October autumn Wheat Fertilizer sweep, the specific price will also gradually surface.

How will the winter storage compound fertilizer market run?