Ningbo Phosphorus and Compound Fertilizer Conference will be held in more than half a month, but this year's composite fertilizer winter storage market follows last year, winter storage quotation has not yet been fully clear, compound fertilizer enterprises look forward to watching, raw material prices fluctuate, especially urea prices fluctuate, grassroots fertilizer preparation is not active, compound fertilizer winter storage quotation is difficult to produce. It is a helpless move. When will the clouds be seen?

First of all, it is difficult to determine the direction of the urea market. In mid-October, the urea quotation began to fall, Shandong urea small particle factory quotation from 2200 yuan / ton to 2070 yuan / ton and then rebounded, now Shandong Lianghe and other small particle factory quotation in 2150-2180 yuan / ton, part of the bright and dark decline, the market new single transaction was blocked, but the start of construction has remained stable for the time being. The industry is not optimistic about the late urea quotation trend, coupled with the recent gas limit seems not to have much impact, so the fall in urea prices hit the lower reaches of the compound fertilizer winter fertilizer reserve confidence, is very inactive, early dealers in August and September period of low-cost reserve part of the reserve, is now high compound fertilizer prices, then ready at this time Fat must be very careful.

Secondly, Northeast China has already offered quotations for winter storage, but most of them are short-term operations. According to the recent research and development of China Chemical Fertilizer Network, some compound fertilizer enterprises have begun to operate in the northeast region for a short time, mostly for the introduction of short-term winter storage quotations, to absorb a certain amount of funds, of course, not excluding individual enterprises last year more surplus stock of raw materials, so the introduction of winter storage quotations compared with the recent high prices, or For example, in August and September, a small number of enterprises offered 45% sulfur-based (12:18:15) winter storage buyouts at around 2200-2250 yuan / ton, and after September, the winter storage buyout price also rose, a small number of enterprises offered 45% sulfur-based (12:18:15) winter storage buyouts rose to 2360-2400 yuan / ton, and individual enterprises also had 24. The price of 50-2600 yuan / ton arrived at the station is very confusing, but mostly for short term operation.

Once again, the cost of raw materials is so high, why is it difficult to raise the price of compound fertilizer? Although urea has fallen, it still operates at a high level, and there are rumors that the price of domestic salt lake potassium chloride has risen in the later period. For compound fertilizer enterprises, the cost pressure is still a factor restricting the quotation. Enterprises with large reserves of low-priced raw materials or raw material resources in the early stage can make quotations and receipts appropriately. However, most enterprises still dare not make quotations or adjust quotations substantially according to the current raw material prices. The acceptance of the lower reaches is another important factor. Enterprises are afraid that it will be difficult to collect quotations after the introduction of winter storage quotations. Therefore, it is imperative to suspend the offer, limit the start up and take orders, and wait for the market to act again.

Finally, we hope to focus on the phosphate fertilizer conference and wait for the future quotation. On November 9, the Phosphorus and Compound Fertilizer Conference will be held in Ningbo, Zhejiang Province. People in the chemical fertilizer industry all over the country rushed to the conference hall and looked forward to getting some market guidance during the meeting. However, according to previous practice, after the Phosphorus and Compound Fertilizer Conference, the winter storage market will not immediately turn to the clouds. I'm afraid it will take another half month or so. Winter storage market of compound fertilizer will gradually become clear, but according to the current overall market, the quotation of compound fertilizer should be relatively stable in the short term, the possibility of big rise and big fall is unlikely.