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Is the unexpected rebound of urea the best time to purchase?
Time:2019-04-28   Read:791second  

At the end of April, the demand for fertilizer in spring has ended, the demand for fertilizer in summer has started gradually, and the demand for compound fertilizer in Northeast China has come to an end, while the demand for fertilizer in Central Plains and South China is gradually entering the peak season. However, at the time of the market transition, urea quotation has returned sharply behind and unexpectedly rebounded slightly. What are the advantages or disadvantages for the later period of compound fertilizer? Is this the best time to buy urea?

First of all, from a favorable point of view, compound fertilizer enterprises to purchase raw materials opportunities. As we all know, the chemical fertilizer market fluctuates very frequently this year, especially urea. In view of this situation, most of the compound fertilizer enterprises purchase urea in a small amount on demand, while the spring demand and the demand in Northeast China have already digested more of the finished product inventory of the compound fertilizer enterprises, and there are few raw materials left, especially urea, so urea, the main raw material of high nitrogen corn fertilizer in the later period, is the best. The timing of purchasing has become crucial. Recently, urea prices have fallen back. The mainstream quotation of small-particle urea in Shanxi has dropped to 1900 yuan/ton. However, once the urea purchasing of compound fertilizer enterprises starts centrally, urea quotation may rebound at some time. Therefore, if compound fertilizer enterprises can sell at low prices, the operation of late summer fertilizer will become easier. Some.

Secondly, from the disadvantage, the decline of urea price restricts the inventory digestion speed downstream of compound fertilizer. According to the incomplete research and development of China Chemical Fertilizer Network, some distributors of compound fertilizer in Anhui and Henan have made about 60% progress in summer fertilizer reserve, and some distributors have made about half of the progress in summer fertilizer reserve. Most of them are first-class distributors. Recently, in the peak season of high nitrogen fertilizer reserve, most of them begin to use fertilizer at the end of May in Central Plains, but the fall of urea price in earlier period has hit the grass-roots again. Fertilizer preparation confidence, compound fertilizer distributors inventory is difficult to digest, the enthusiasm of secondary procurement will be frustrated, therefore, the recent delivery rate of compound fertilizer enterprises will be relatively slow, but the recent urea rebound slightly, such as in mid-May when high nitrogen fertilizer preparation is about to enter the mid-late period, when urea prices can rise again, for compound fertilizer enterprises, high nitrogen fertilizer It will become a profit point.


Finally, in the first half of 2019, the rise and fall of urea prices have a great impact on the cost of compound fertilizer enterprises. If we can grasp the rhythm of raw material procurement, low-price procurement, high-price season of sales, compound fertilizer enterprises are better off. If high-price period purchases raw materials, low-price period is season of sales, then some compound fertilizer enterprises will face losses. Urea is an important factor in the annual market. This is reflected vividly in the first half of 2019.

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