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Southwest China: Fertilizer consumption is less than half that of last year? Dealers and farmers are worried!
Time:2019-05-29   Read:670second  

One

_region: Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region

Xu Zuhua, Guilin Bosch Ecological Agriculture Co., Ltd.

_There are many hills in the area. Citrus is mainly planted. Organic and compound fertilizers are the main fertilizers. In the past few years, the economic benefit of planting sugar orange was very good, which made the planting area of sugar orange expand rapidly in Guangzhou and Guangdong. As a result, the purchase price of sugar orange in recent two years was much lower than before. Affected by the depressed purchase price of sugar orange last year, farmers'enthusiasm for investment is relatively low this year, and their use of fertilizers has been reduced. In terms of quality, they also tend to buy low-cost fertilizers. At present, the local market wholesale price of 45% sulfur-based compound fertilizer is about 3000 yuan/ton.

At present, citrus fertilizer is in the stage of young fruit, up to now, the local fertilizer has completed 2/3 of the total annual fertilizer. Xu Zuhua told reporters that July-September will usher in the period of citrus expansion, when another local fertilizer peak will come. On the whole, in the first half of this year, the price of chemical fertilizer is relatively stable. In the short run, the demand of farmers will be flat, and it is difficult to form a favorable support for the price of chemical fertilizer. Fertilizer prices are not expected to fluctuate much later.

2

_Region: Qingyuan City, Guangdong Province

_. Zhu Ziwei, Agricultural Material Distribution Center for Supply and Marketing

_The main cash crops are sugar orange, winter melon and so on. At present, the peak season of fertilizer use has passed. In the first half of this year, farmers'enthusiasm for using fertilizer was very poor, which led to less than half of the sales of chemical fertilizer in the same period last year. Zhu Ziwei said that in the past two years, the price of agricultural products was low, the phenomenon of farmers' aging was serious, the area of abandoned land was increasing year by year, and the urbanization process was accelerated. The above reasons led to the bleak local agricultural market. At present, the local arrival price of urea is 2200 yuan/ton, 45% chlorine-based compound fertilizer is 2000 yuan/ton and 45% sulfur-based compound fertilizer is 2500 yuan/ton.

_In the first half of this year, the price of compound fertilizer is relatively stable. It is expected that the price of compound fertilizer will be reduced later, mainly because the agricultural demand is at the end of the sweeping period. At present, the stock of the market is relatively abundant. In order to recover funds, stimulate consumption, manufacturers may sell down prices. The next stage of fertilizer season will come from July to August, mainly citrus bulking. For the future market, Zhu Ziwei is not very optimistic. He said that the local hills are more, the process of land transfer is slow, and farmers rely on land to earn a limited amount of money. More migrant workers will abandon the land. With the increase of the abandoned land area year by year, the local fertilizer consumption shows a continuous downward trend.

Comments by Journalists

This week, the reporter interviewed the urea and compound fertilizer market in South China. Local agricultural fertilizer has come to an end, but affected by the low prices of agricultural by-products in recent two years, farmers in South China generally have a low enthusiasm for using fertilizer in the first half of this year, or choose to buy low-cost fertilizer, or reduce the use of fertilizer, or even large-scale abandonment of land.

Reporters learned that South China belongs to the region where typhoons occur frequently. Agricultural production is greatly affected by climate. If agricultural insurance is applied, it will be an additional layer of protection for farmers. But the local farmers do not buy agricultural insurance basically. The main reason is that in the process of developing policy-oriented agricultural insurance business, the insurance companies have high risks, low profits and complex inventory procedures, which have become unprofitable business. This has frustrated the enthusiasm of insurance companies and made it difficult to expand agricultural insurance. In addition, many insurance policy propaganda and implementation is not in place, many farmers do not even know there is agricultural insurance.

_Distributors reported to reporters that the agricultural development in some parts of Guangdong is very resistant. One of the main reasons is that the price of many imported fruits is even lower than that of local fruits, while the cost of domestic labor and agricultural materials is very high, the price of pesticides and fertilizers is high, while the agricultural by-products are still depressed. Last year, the prices of granulated orange, pineapple, longan and litchi are very unsatisfactory. The purchase price of orange is only 0.8 yuan per kilogram, but the export route of fruit is limited. It is expected that the price of fruit will not be too ideal in the next 2-3 years. Farmers can not see the hope, so the enthusiasm of planting land is very low. The distributor said that if domestic agricultural by-products can go abroad, it will bring a great boost to the domestic agricultural market. Regarding investment in agricultural production, some distributors in Guangdong told reporters that there were great obstacles. In addition to the disadvantage of the terrain to agricultural production development, there were also difficulties in local agricultural investment loans, high cost of agricultural materials, and the risk of planting and insurance difficulties. In addition, the marketing of products is also a big problem.

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