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Later period or hope of compound fertilizer raw materials in summer and Autumn
Time:2019-06-06   Read:679second  

Recent wheat harvesting activities have been carried out in turn from south to north, with more than half progress. In some areas, maize is planted while wheat is harvested. In some areas, due to weather reasons, it lags behind a little, followed by maize and rice planting period. It is expected that the summer fertilizer market will basically end in late June. It can be seen that in the near future, the overall starting rate of compound fertilizer enterprises is low, and the quotation of the factory is temporarily stable, but the trading preferential intensity should be slightly increased or decreased. In recent years, the demand for compound fertilizer has been reduced in all parts of the country, but the scope is not very large, and there is still room for replenishment in the later period. Summer demand is over, there is still a period of time before autumn demand, and autumn fertilizer production will wait until July, so in the short term, the demand for raw materials of compound fertilizer enterprises will decrease, but there is still hope in the later period.

Urea: Since the price of urea rose last week, the stamina is insufficient. This week, urea began to fall. The main reason is that the agricultural demand in Shandong, Henan and other places has been swept away and the industrial demand has not improved. At present, the purchasing price of urea in Shandong Linyi compound fertilizer enterprise is around 1950-1960 yuan/ton. Converting to about 1900 yuan/ton of urea mainstream from Shandong province, the compound fertilizer enterprise is short of construction in the near future, and the production order is not many. Some enterprises have purchased part of urea appropriately at the low urea level in the early stage, and the speed of production and consumption of raw materials is slow. Therefore, there is no purchasing plan in the near future, and some enterprises view. Looking forward, it is believed that there is still room for urea to decline in the latter period, so the purchasing intention is not large, and a small amount of goods on demand is the main.

_-monoammonium: the new monoammonium deal is not good, some enterprises are still waiting to be implemented, but it is known that the flow direction is not too much, resulting in a slight backlog of enterprise inventory. At present, the quotation of enterprises is temporarily stable. The actual output of 55% of the large factories in Hubei Province has dropped to 2000 yuan/ton. The actual output of individual small factories has been as low as 1950 yuan/ton or slightly lower. The actual output of 55% of the large factories in Sichuan Province is 1880-1900 yuan/ton, Yunnan Province. The actual output of 55% ammonium powder in small plant is only 1800 yuan per ton. About 10,000 tons of Monoammonium purchased by compound mast factories have not yet arrived at the factories in the early stage, and the demand is off-season. Therefore, there is no new purchase intention in the short term. However, according to the rough calculation of the consumption of more than 1,000 tons of Monoammonium per day by large enterprises, there is still a certain demand for monoammonium in the later stage. It is expected that the plan of purchasing monoammonium by compound fertilizer enterprises will gradually increase after June 20.

Potassium Fertilizer: In recent years, the market of potash fertilizer is relatively light. To say "big deal" should be the new price of June in Salt Lake. Apparent quotation is consistent with May. Buy-out quotation is increased by 50 yuan/ton compared with last month. 60% crystal potassium chloride arrival quotation is 2250 yuan/ton. Agent mainstream arrival quotation is 2200 yuan/ton. Actual transaction space is slightly increased compared with last month. The market of potassium sulfate is relatively stable, and there is no obvious sign of improvement or deterioration. In the later period, it should continue to be stable, with local shocks. At present, 51% to 52% of Xinjiang powder agents report arrival prices of about 2700-2800 yuan/ton and Qinghai 50% powder of about 2550 yuan/ton. Compound fertilizer enterprises have paid little attention to potassium fertilizer in recent years. In some areas, enterprises purchase potassium chloride in salt lakes step by step, mainly on demand, and a small amount of potassium imported from high-level ports is also the main replenishment.

In summary, this month's purchasing intention of compound fertilizer enterprises should be small, mainly due to their own demand off-season, the market of various kinds of raw materials is also satisfactory, and it is expected that the demand for raw materials will gradually increase as early as the end of June.

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