In recent years, the market of compound fertilizer is in a downturn. Although it is in the peak season of autumn fertilizer market in Central Plains and other places, the overall quantity of compound fertilizer is not larger than in previous years, and decreases year by year. At present, some compound fertilizer enterprises still have some orders to be issued in the production and delivery, and the attention to raw material nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium is not high. The overall start-up rate of compound fertilizer is still low. Although the start-up rate has risen in recent weeks, it is mainly due to enterprises'fear of stopping production or limiting production in the later period. Recently, production has been stepped up. Southern enterprises are underdeveloped due to sluggish demand. Northern enterprises are slightly better than Southern ones. With the approaching of 11 long holidays, it is expected that Shandong and Lianghe will open as a whole. The work rate will be affected.

From the above, we can see that the situation of compound fertilizer itself is not good, the purchase of raw materials is cautious, and the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. The details are as follows:

Urea: Since last week, the price of urea has risen due to the publication of label printing and large-scale purchasing by large domestic traders. At present, the price of urea in Shandong and Lianghe, the main producing areas, has remained stable. Some urea enterprises can still maintain the quantity to be implemented for a period of time. Even at the beginning of the week, it was difficult to find the spot. At present, Linyi, Shandong Province, has resumed. Hefei enterprise urea warehousing 1890-1900 yuan (ton price, the same below). Some compound fertilizer enterprises intend to purchase thousands of tons of urea in an appropriate amount. However, in the face of market price chaos and the difficulty of finding a suitable spot price, most of them are cautious and wait and see for a while. They still think that the rising price of urea means more intense speculation, light agricultural demand and light labor. Demand for urea industry is not improving. With the approaching eleventh year, the real demand for urea needs to be more careful. Therefore, purchasing is more cautious and appropriate.

_-monoammonium: the market of Monoammonium is depressed, the stock pressure of enterprises is increased, some of the pending issuance is temporarily no direction, and the price continues to decline. At present, the individual low-end acceptance of Monoammonium in 55% of the small factories in Hubei is as low as 1850-1860 yuan, and the large factories are only around 1900 yuan. 58% of the large factories actually acceptance of Monoammonium is 2200 yuan, while Shandong accepts the storage of 2200 yuan, which has recently returned. Hearing that the port has a supply of 2160 yuan for Shandong low-end warehousing, the traders who have goods in hand are also discarding goods at low prices recently. The pre-storage ammonium of compound fertilizer enterprises is more, mainly consuming the pre-storage ammonium. Some enterprises have not yet purchased all the pre-purchase ammonium to the factory, coupled with lack of confidence in one ammonium, the new purchasing plan is not much, small. It's hard to improve in the short run if you focus solely on it.

Potassium fertilizer: Potassium chloride import market is low, port stock is large. At present, 62% of white potassium quoted at the port is more than 2300 yuan, turnover is 2250-2280 yuan. The price of Bayuquan Port is slightly higher due to the frontier trade, etc. The arrival price of 60% crystal potassium chloride in domestic salt lakes is difficult to reach 2150 yuan, and the overall arrival price varies from 2100 yuan to 2150 yuan. Potassium sulfate is in the general market. Compound fertilizer enterprises pay less attention to potassium fertilizer than urea, the demand is relatively light, there are still pre-purchase inventory, on-demand procurement or implementation of pre-contract, a large number of purchasing intentions are not large.

In summary, the urea market has changed slightly in recent years, but whether urea can drive the declining fertilizer market remains to be studied. Compound fertilizer is in the production and shipment stage in the near future, and the eleventh affects the start of construction, so there should be little action on raw material procurement in the short term.