After the May Day holiday, the fertilizer market returned to normal, and the summer fertilizer market officially opened. As early as before the end of the spring market, the summer compound fertilizer market has been launched. So far, the factory quotation of high nitrogen fertilizer in various regions has been clear. For example, the mainstream factory quotation of 40% chlorine base (28-6-6 / 30-5-5) is 1800-1950 yuan / ton, down more than 100 yuan / ton year on year. Not only the price level is lower than the same period last year, but also the market trading atmosphere is much lower than before. The recent weakness of urea market further leads to the increase of pessimism in the future market of high nitrogen fertilizer.

The pressure of enterprises continues to increase. Although there are favorable factors to fry in the near future, such as international bidding, high-speed recovery charges, etc., the domestic market does not buy the account, and it is expected that the short-term market is still weak. The fall of urea price, to some extent, hindered the promotion of high nitrogen fertilizer market, and the larger the fall, the more stalemate the summer fertilizer market.

 The demand for high nitrogen corn fertilizer in summer is mainly concentrated in Lianghe, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui and other places. The demand quantity can be imagined and is often expected by the market people. However, the actual demand quantity in this summer may be reduced. The first reason is that the planting area is relatively small. In recent years, the phenomenon of soil rotation in some areas is rising, the planting structure is obviously adjusted, and the field crop fertilizer is reduced accordingly. The second reason is that In addition to the gradual reduction of short-term benefits, the relatively unsatisfactory long-term expectation also reduced the grassroots planting enthusiasm. The reduction of the actual demand adds another wave to the high nitrogen fertilizer market which was not expected to be optimistic.

Secondly, the surplus demand is limited. Compared with the previous years, the market stage of spring and summer is relatively short and rapid. Since the start of summer fertilizer market, the downstream stock quantity has been more than half, and the local surplus demand is relatively limited. The first reason is that the urea market, as the main raw material of high nitrogen fertilizer at the beginning of market start-up, runs at a high level, to a certain extent, driving the enthusiasm of downstream investment, making it easy to purchase some goods at the beginning of price introduction The second reason is the cancellation of high-speed charging in the early stage and the relative decrease of automobile freight. In order to reduce the cost to the greatest extent, the enthusiasm of shipping and taking goods between the upstream and downstream is increased, and a wave of taking goods climax occurs before the high-speed recovery of charging.

In the end, the market of other raw materials is worrying. In addition to the unsatisfactory urea market, the market of phosphate and potash is also worrying. In the near future, there are almost no favorable factors. Since the resumption of work in the main production area of Hubei Province, the supply of Monoammonium has gradually returned to normal level, but the demand has started to weaken, leading to the downward price. Currently, the mainstream factory price of 55% of powdered ammonium in Hubei Province is 1800-1850 yuan / ton, and the actual acceptance factory price is even higher It is low, and it is heard that the price will continue to decline slightly in the near future; at the end of April, the signing of large potassium chloride contract, the price of potassium chloride has not changed significantly at present, but according to the domestic and international market environment, cost and supply situation, the future market is pessimistic.
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