Urea is always mysterious, and the price fluctuation is also an idea. The frequent adjustment of urea industry is not surprising. Recently, the price of urea has changed from a weak trend, whether the port is limited to loading or the domestic demand is light, the price is rising slightly. This basically focuses on the small amount of agricultural single purchase in North China and central China, and the reduction support of a large urea plant in East China After the southwest market, there is still room for negotiation, and the attitude of the industry is also bearish. According to another source, the printing mark of the first ten days of this month may be postponed to October, and the domestic urea consumption can only benefit from it. Can it be regarded as asking the way for the later bidding in India.

The price of urea in enterprises has risen slightly, but large agricultural material suppliers are still cautious in purchasing, only some of them increase their reserves appropriately, and most of them are still collected as soon as they are used. If we look at the situation that there is still no market or scattered transactions at the grass-roots level. At present, the mainstream ex factory quotation of urea in Hebei Province has risen to about 1710-1750 yuan / ton, the receiving price of compound fertilizer enterprises in Linyi area of Shandong Province has risen to 1720 yuan / ton, and the wholesale price of some grass-roots units in Jiangsu Province has increased by 10-20 yuan / ton to 1710 yuan / ton. However, there is no market for urea. Traders are worried and purchasing is cautious. Next, the trend of urea and the progress of marking are the focus of the industry, which should be paid attention to from both supply and demand.

First of all, the start-up of urea enterprises is high, and the daily output is on the high side. According to the statistics of China chemical fertilizer network, up to now, the overall industry of urea enterprises has started about 57.03%, with a daily output of about 160000 tons. If the start-up of urea enterprises is obviously reduced, the price rise of urea will be very smooth, but the fact is contrary to our wishes. One of the reasons for this urea price increase has something to do with the maintenance of some urea plants in a large factory in Shandong Province. After all, the maintenance is a short-term situation, and the rest of the enterprises have no plan to stop the inspection, which is just a short-term maintenance of individual enterprises. In addition, the liquid ammonia market is polarized from north to south, The market of liquid ammonia in Hebei, Henan, Shandong and Shanxi is weak, and the price has dropped sharply. Enterprises are under great pressure. It is not ruled out that some enterprises may shift their production focus to urea. For example, a plant in Hebei will adjust the production units of liquid ammonia and urea at any time. After the overhaul of a large urea plant in Shandong Province is completed, the start-up will continue to rise, and it is indicated that there should be no frequent thereafter Maintenance occurred.

Secondly, the demand for Industry and agriculture is not good, and the support provided by urea is limited on the way to counter attack. In addition, in recent years, due to the high operation risk of urea and sufficient supply, traders are not the favorite of short storage. In industry, the start-up of compound fertilizer enterprises is still low to about 53%. Although the production of large factories is still considerable, they all purchase on demand However, most of the small and medium-sized enterprises have low load or still have no plan to resume production, so their demand for raw material urea is limited. The start-up of plywood factories is still low, and there is little expectation for their recovery in the later stage, so the demand for urea is not much increased. Large traders are also cautious in purchasing urea, and generally operate back-to-back. However, stimulated by the recent slight rise in urea prices, the demand for urea is still low, Trading volume increased slightly.

Thirdly, the international market still has a certain degree of support for the domestic urea market. The supporting factors are the international price and the supply of urea export goods for the shipping date of October 5, and the recent situation of fertilizer shipment in Yantai port has slightly improved. However, the biggest problem at present is that the port loading restriction has not been fully eased, and the backlog of urea supplies in the port has hindered the domestic urea export. According to the latest news, the next round of marking may be postponed to the National Day holiday After that, before that, the domestic market had lost a support.

Finally, to sum up, the short-term urea market will be slightly active under the support of slightly lower start-up and partial scattered procurement. However, in the long run, it is still short of good news, and it is too early to speculate on the next Indian bidding. It is expected that the urea market will consolidate cautiously in the short term and there should be no significant change.