Yesterday, the "2030 World Energy Outlook" report released by international energy giant British Petroleum in China to 2030 global oil and liquid fuel supply growth will be able to meet the expected demand growth, although China is to the 2030 expected growth in demand for accounting for about half of the world's new demand, but China energy threat theory does not hold, not a big impact on the world energy supply and demand.
The report shows that global energy consumption growth rate is declining, down to an average annual rate of 2% in the next decade from an average annual rate of 2.5 percent in the past decade, from 2020 to 2030 will be further reduced to 1.3%. British Petroleum chief economist the Ruhr Dr. yesterday in Beijing that China's energy demand intensity will be greatly reduced.
The report finds that 96% of the growth of energy consumption from non-OECD countries, 2030, China and India will become the world's largest and third largest economy and energy consuming countries, the two population, GDP and energy demand The sum will account for 35 percent of the global total. The next 20 years, 94% of the world's net oil demand growth will come from China and India.
However, British Petroleum, China energy threat is not established in the Chinese energy demand will not be a big impact on the world energy supply and demand. The growth of the global liquid fuel supply will be able to meet the expected demand growth.
The report said that the new supply to meet expected demand will mainly come from OPEC countries, and its production is expected to increase to nearly 12 million barrels / day, including natural gas liquid products, as well as Iraq and Saudi Arabia's conventional crude oil. Meanwhile, the supply of non-OPEC countries will continue to increase, an increase of 500 million barrels / day, mainly due to strong growth in the supply of American States, including the United States and Brazil's bio-fuel Canada's oil sands, the Brazilian deepwater oil and shale oil and so on.